Expert Picks - Mike Battaglia

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Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

Saturday, October 21, 2017

    battaglia

    Mike is Keeneland’s longtime odds maker and is recognized as being one of the best handicappers in America. In addition to his duties at Keeneland, he is a racing analyst for NBC’s Thoroughbred racing coverage.


    Saturday, October 21, 2017

    1st Race: LADY WARRIOR (#4) was third in her debut at Churchill and was just a nose behind the runner up. She should move forward and get the nod in the opener. NONIKAS THUNDER (#8) closed well in her Arlington debut on the all-weather. If she takes to the dirt, she will be tough to beat. SILVER TURNS GOLD (#1) has early speed and gets in light.

    2nd Race: PAMPERED VOW (#9) lost all chance when she checked sharply on the run down the backstretch. She has the speed to make the lead in here and if she takes to the dirt she will be tough to catch. JEANNE'S SPEIGHT (#1) has been a beaten favorite in her last two but looks like the main competition. HONOR'S PARADE (#8) was claimed last out by trainer Tom Amoss and has to be respected.

    3rd Race: CONQUEST WINDYCITY (#7) threw in a clunker as the favorite last out at Belmont but has posted two solid works since returning to Kentucky. He is 2 for 2 at Keeneland and rates the edge with Corey Lanerie picking up the mount. SEEKING THE SOUL (#5) is a classy runner from the barn of trainer Dallas Stewart. He will be running at the end and is the one to beat. SOCIETY BEAU (#1) will like the move back to dirt and gets blinkers.

    4th Race: KIRBY'S PENNY (#7) has won four of his last five races and appears to be in a good spot to add another one with Jose Ortiz aboard for trainer Wesley Ward. CHINA GROVE (#5) has raced mainly in stakes races and has the class to be dangerous. BEACH FLOWER (#4) rates a chance.

    5th Race: DADDY IS A LEGEND (#14) is on the also-eligible list but was second behind Rushing Fall, who came back to romp in the JPMorgan Chase Jessamine (G3) last week. She looks like a solid bet to win if she draws in. COACH ROCKS (#10) showed big improvement when moved to the turf for her second career start. She just missed in that one and will be tough in here. TRACK ROSE (#11) ran well in her debut and posted a recent bullet work for Mike Maker.

    6th Race: MINEYEROWNMALONE (#9) was an impressive winner last out and was claimed from that one by Moss/Amoss. He moves back up the claiming ladder but has won at this level before and gets the nod with Florent Geroux aboard. WOODMANS LUCK (#4) is a 9-year-old veteran who comes off a game score. He figures to be tough again today. FUTILE (#5) is suspect at the distance but has the speed to be dangerous.

    7th Race: AMERICA'S TALE (#9) moves back to the dirt after a couple of solid turf races. She has the speed to be in contention throughout and rates a slight edge in a well-matched maiden race. ELUSIVE TRUTH (#7) was third as the favorite in her debut for trainer Steve Asmussen. She figures to move forward off that effort and is the one to beat. SMART SHOT (#12) is training well for Rusty Arnold, who is having a very good meet. She is capable of running well at first asking.

    8th Race: SMILING CAUSEWAY (#9) has won two of her five races and has finished a close second behind Rublinda and Morticia, who are both multiple stakes winners. She has the speed to be on or near the lead throughout and a good trip is all she needs to win this one. DELPHINIA (#12) stopped badly last out at Kentucky Downs but is capable of rebounding at nice odds. EXCESSIVESPENDING (#4) hooked better last out and will like the move back to 5½ furlongs.

    9th Race – Lexus Raven Run (G2): NONNA MELA (#4) makes her third start back off a long layoff for trainer Todd Pletcher. She figures to be ready for her best performance today and rates a slight edge in a very evenly matched renewal of the Lexus Raven Run. TEQUILITA (#7) is a multiple stakes winner who has been extremely consistent for trainer Michael Matz, finishing in the money in 8 of her 10 races. She loves the 7-furlong distance and will be running at the end. MISS SUNSET (#11) has been running in mostly California bred races but she has won six of 10 and has to be respected in her graded stakes debut.

    10th Race: JAUNT (#9) is still a maiden after nine tries but she comes in off a pair of runner up efforts on the Belmont grass and looks best with Jose Ortiz back aboard for trainer Shug McGaughey. HALLIE BELLE (#5) just missed last out in her first race back after a long layoff. She figures to improve and is the one to beat. BLAME T J (#2) could run well at nice odds. 

Saturday, October 21, 2017

 

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