Expert Picks - Mike Battaglia

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    Mike Battaglia

    Mike is Keeneland’s longtime odds maker and is recognized as being one of the best handicappers in America. In addition to his duties at Keeneland, he is a racing analyst for NBC’s Thoroughbred racing coverage.

    Sunday, October 18, 2015

    1st Race: LOST IN SUCCESS (#8) has been idle since she was claimed from a winning race at Monmouth. She has been off for six weeks without a published work but a repeat of that last performance would make her a winner today. TOTHYOWNSELF (#3) has been racing evenly against better and drops back in for a tag today. GRACEE GOO (#5) drops to a career-low claiming level and Corey Lanerie picks up the mount.

    2nd Race: ROB AND JOHNS GIRL (#5) has been a model of consistency for the past two years finishing first or second in 20 of her 27 races. She just missed in her race over this track back in April and rates the edge in a well-matched claiming race. LUCY'S REVENGE (#4) drops in for a tag and should like the move back to the dirt. Look for an improved performance today. GUESSED RIGHT (#6) moves up in class after a win at Churchill and figures to be a solid threat.

    3rd Race: BAD STUDENT (#8) moves up in class after winning two straight. He looked very sharp in his last win over this track and can continue his streak with Joe Bravo picking up the mount for trainer Chris Hartman. GIMMEADRINK (#2) is an 8-year-old veteran who has won five of seven this year. He is definitely the one to beat. IT'LL BE FINE (#4) has also won his last two and trainer Kenny McPeek's horses are running well this meet.

    4th Race: ZA APPROVAL (#6) is a multiple graded stakes winner of over $1.3 million. He is winless this year but has running well against better and looks like a solid bet to regain his winning ways for trainer Mark Casse and jockey Julien Leparoux. DECISIVE MOMENT looks like the controlling speed from the inside post and could be tough to catch. GRAND CONTENDER has to be respected.

    5th Race: SANEEM (#8) was no match for a runaway winner in his last race but should move forward in his third career start. He will be rallying from off what figures to be a fast pace and he appears to be in a good spot to get his maiden score. ROCK STAR STATUS  (#7) has failed as the odds-on favorite in all three of his races. He figures to be the one to beat but he has never been past six furlongs and may be vulnerable again. COWBOY RHYTHM (#3) exits a tough race at Churchill and should like the added distance.

    6th Race: QUEEN PAULINE (#3) is a well-bred Tapit filly debuting for trainer Steve Asmussen. She has had a series of solid works capped by a near bullet drill from the gate here last Sunday. She figures to be ready to win at first asking. TWIRL GIRL (#1) ran well to finish second in her only race and runs coupled with TWIRL GIRL who comes off of a third-place finish. Both are eligible to improve. BEACH WALK (#9) is a definite threat.

    7th Race: CASSATT (#6) is a graded stakes winner of over $600,000 who has won six of her 10 career races. She has been idle since finishing last in a Grade 1 race at Santa Anita in March but is training sharply for Larry Jones, who figures to have her ready to roll today. SPRING INCLUDED (#7) didn't take to the turf at Kentucky Downs but is also a stakes winner who will appreciate the move back to the dirt. Her best makes her very dangerous. YOU BOUGHT HER (#3) is the only runner in here with a win at Keeneland and she rates a chance.

    8th Race – Rood & Riddle Dowager (G3): KITTEN’S POINT (#1) comes off of a sharp win last out and won the Bewitch (G3) over this turf course in April. Graham Motion figures to have her ready for another top performance and she looks like a solid bit to win this one with Edgar Prado aboard. CEISTEACH (#8) upset the top pick when they hooked up back in July and figures to be the main threat today. MISS CHATELAINE (#9) is a lightly raced 3-year-old taking on the older runners but she is bred to handle the mile and a half and has to be respected.

    9th Race: OLTRE' ORO (#10) was claimed from a winning effort by Ramsey/Sharp last out. She drops a notch in class but a repeat of that win would be good enough to beat these. MOONLIT METEOR (#2) is another solid runner from the barn of trainer Joe Woodard. He just missed in his race over this track on opening day and is the one to beat. WHATTHECATDRUGIN (#5) is always dangerous at this level. 




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