Expert Picks - Katie Mikolay Gensler

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., Wednesday, October 22, 2014

    Katie Mikolay Gensler

    Katie Mikolay Gensler's first exposure to racing came at a young age, attending Arlington Park with her family on weekends when she grew up in the northwest suburbs of Chicago, Illinois. She has been the racing analyst at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots in New Orleans, Louisiana for the last three years. In addition to hosting the daily Churchill Downs Simulcast Network production of live Fair Grounds racing, Mikolay co-hosts the pre-race Fair Grounds Today show. She also contributes to FairGroundsRaceCourse.com as both a handicapper and blogger during the live Thoroughbred meeting and has made special appearances on HRTV and NBC Sports. During the summers, she performs similar duties at Presque Isle Downs in Erie, Pennsylvania for the 100-day race meet for the last five years. As an advocate for fan education, Katie has teamed up with America's Best Racing to teach wagering and produce racing 101 videos to increase horse racing awareness. She has been married to Thoroughbred horse trainer, Hank Gensler, for three years.


    Saturday, October 4, 2014

    Saturday, October 4th, 2014

     

    Race 1: REBECCA’S SURPRISE (2) leads into the race off a close third with plenty of time to rest after a hard used performance.  Filly will be tough from start to finish at this class level.  DEFOE STREET (7) exits an impressive win against tougher at the distance and will be a major player if early speed doesn’t get away on the front.  RUSTICANA (6) should sit just off the pace with jockey Leparoux in the saddle for a turnaround performance.

    Picks 2-7-6

     

    Race 2:  LAWLESS WEST (9) dealt with traffic on debut and should improve at second asking for a sharp 2yo barn.  INCREMENTAL (7) will drop in class his third time out, but needs to move forward at a low price.  He exits a key race, which the second place finisher, IMPERIA, came back to win the G3 Pilgrim Stakes.  ESCALATE (6) flashed early speed from an inside draw last time and should show more this time around for Asmussen’s stable (26%).

     

    Race 3:  GOT LUCKY (5) won against older horses in an allowance race two starts back.  She’s faced some of the best 3yo fillies in the country and she returns off a brief break to be the main threat from off the pace.  LUNAR SURGE (7) comes off a much needed break, which she runs well fresh.  She has a solid record against allowance horses.  GRACEFUL RAGE (3) gets jockey Mike Smith in the irons as she returns off the bench with decent works in the a.m.

    Picks 5-7-3

     

    Race 4:  STARBOUND (9) should be tough as the favorite after a sharp effort going a flat mile in his latest performance.  WESTBOUND (2) runs with blinkers on and seems to be training well.  MALIBU PARK (3) has several sharp works and will wear the hood for his first trip going long.

    Picks 9-2-3

     

    Race 5: The Grade 3 Woodford Stakes

    MARCHMAN (10) has done well here in the past and works look solid to be ready off a 2 ½ month break.  He appears tough just off the pace.  SPRING TO THE SKY (11) looks like the speed of the speed with a dangerous outside draw to clear the field early.  NO NAY NEVER (9) is the “new guy” in the field and has a near perfect reocrd to be a player for a sharp outfit.

    Picks 10-11-9

     

    Race 6: The Grade 2 Thoroughbred Club of America

    STONETASTIC (5) is a fantastic filly that leads into the race off an impressive win at Saratoga.  She is the one to beat.  R FREE ROLL (3) has five wins at the distance with dangerous early speed.  LEIGH COURT (2) has plenty of talent, but surface switch is the issue so watch the odds.

    Picks 5-3-2

     

    Race 7: The Grade 1 First Lady Stakes

    ISTANFORD (4) is sharp at the distance and returns fresh for a winning trip on the frontend if she can getaway with a sharp gate rider in the saddle. SOMALI LEMONADE (8) should like the return off a minor break at a shorter distance compared to last two starts.  She likes this turf course with two wins and she’s training well.  CENTRE COURT (9) should be a major contender second start off the break with more relaxed trip and a firm turf course.

    Picks 4-8-9

     

     

    Race 8:  The Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

    BOLD CONQUEST (6) just missed last time out and should improve second time going route for a high percentage stable and nice pedigree.  CONQUEST TSUNAMI (7) heads into the race undefeated with four wins and has a strong series of five-furlong drills.  CARPE DIEM (5) won on debut and will be tested at a two-turn distance with a solid pedigree going long.

    Picks 6-7-5

     

    Race 9: The Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile

    WISE DAN (6) should be sharper second start off a layoff as he goes for his 14th consecutive win on the grass.  He’s been training well for another big effort in this stakes.  He won this race in 2012.  SILVER MAX (4) beat WISE DAN last year in this race and has dangerous early speed especially with moisture on the grass or dirt.  SEEK AGAIN (8) is a sharp runner on the grass, but will need to step up to compete against top choice.

    Picks 6-4-8

     

    Race 10:  ZEVEN (9) has plenty of works to be fit and ready first time out including a fast breeze out of the gate on September 27th at CD.  Filly should be a nice price for a capable barn with firsters. ENCHANTRESS (7) was purchased for $950k and runs for a 23% stable with debut runners.  She’s bred for speed with good works.  VANDELITA (12) displayed some talent on debut and should move forward at a slightly longer distance.  She worked sharply in the morning over the Keeneland dirt.

    Pick 9-7-12

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