Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing.
Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.
#1 Fourth of July - Minimum Odds 2/1
#6 Rhythm Park - Minimum Odds 2/1
Exactas: 1,3 over 1,3,6,7 AND ALSO 1,3,6,7 over 1,3
At the $1 minimum level, the cost of the two tickets above is $12. We win the 1st bet if 1 or 3 wins and then if 1,3,6 or 7 finishes second and we win the 2nd bet if the opposite occurs. If #1 & #3 finish 1st and 2nd we win twice.
Fourth of July comes from the barn of an owner/trainer with only one or two horses in her care so they are probably very well taken care of and every start becomes important for paying the bills. The horse won for the trainer off the claim in February and has run second in two starts since including a runner-up finish two weeks ago under nearly identical conditions. With three, possibly four other horses in the race all wanting to lead early or to press the pace, Fourth of July should be running on strongly in the last either a mile and could earn her sixth career win.
Rhythm Park loves to win races, with nine victories in 19 starts, including a seven for 12 record in the past 16 months. He won his only start at Keeneland last October and enters the race on a two race win streak so is the other main contender to get his picture taken in the winner's circle today.
Other racing content
- Analysis of major stakes races every Friday at equibase.com/free
- Weekend Key Races blog at 123racing.com- Click on 123Blog
- Free Selection for one race daily at Keeneland keeneland.com/racing/expert-picks/starr
- Free Selection for one race daily at Santa Anita santaanita.com/author/ellisstarr/
- Weekly Podcast ubercapperradionetwork.madewithopinion.com/
You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Keeneland card at Equibase, TrackMaster, Keeneland Select, TVG, Twinspires, Xpressbet as well as many and other wagering sites, usually in the handicapping store.