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Thursday 4/26 analysis
Race 1: Pleased as Punch (2) has run well lately and that's enough in a race with no strong prospects. EXACTA BOX: 2-1-5
Race 2: Mr. Garde (3) gets the nod because speed has been good lately and the trainer excels with these stretchouts. I'll key him in exactas. EXACTA BOXES: 3-9, 3-11, 3-12
Race 3: Queen's Award (4) ran well in a grade 1 and can beat the favorite, who is coming off a layoff. I'll key her with Judy the Beauty (1A) and Sly Warrior (5). EXACTA BOXES: 4-1, 4-5
Race 4: Beautiful Dancer (4) shows a blazing workout and the trainer goes for a good rider at getting horses out of the gate. EXACTA BOX: 4-3-7
Race 5: I'm So Vain (5) won here and this trainer does well with limited starters at Keeneland. Excessiveness (9) is a strong contender, too. EXACTA BOX: 5-9-8
Race 6: Prissy (6) goes for top connections and ran well here off a layoff last fall.. North by Northlite (8) and Confesion (10) merit a strong look, too. EXACTA BOX: 6-8-10
Race 7: a wide open race and I'll take a stab with Developer (5). He's working and Dynaformer offspring run well here. Coaches Favorite (11) ran well here in his only start, as did Wind of Bosphorus (9). EXACTA BOX: 5-11--9
Race 8: Gathering (5) is taking a big class jump but this kind of move is not typical for a conservative guy like Sheppard, so it suggests confidence. Regalo Mia (9) looked like a much-improved horse last time and Kissable (2) ran well in a grade 1 last fall. EXACTA BOX: 5-9-2
Race 9: Responsive Eye (5) is in pretty good form in a race where few are. EXACTA BOX: 5-1-4
BEST EXACTA RACE: 8th
50-cent PICK 4 for $50 or less (starts in race 6): 6 with 5/11/9/4/10/3 with 5 w/ ALL = $30