Expert Picks

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., Tuesday, October 6, 2015

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Sunday, October 4, 2015

    Race 1

    #1 Flowers for Lisa is making his 2nd start for the Joe Sharp barn. The colt drops in class and adds blinkers this time out. #3 Handiwork adds Lasix and blinkers for his 2nd start and also drops in class. #7 Boss Hawg was the beaten favorite in his debut and should improve off that effort.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #1 Flower for Lisa, #3 Handiwork, #7 Boss Hawg

    Cost $6

    Race 2

    #3 Magic Five is making his 2nd start off the layoff and dropping in for a tag for the first time. He also shortens up the distance and like this Hard Spun colt for the win here. #6 Macho Brew made his first 4 starts on the grass and has posted decent Beyer numbers. Expecting him to like an off track and this distance. #5 Horsetailspeedster ran 3rd last out at 6 furlongs, he should appreciate the extra furlong here.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #2 Rockstar Jam, #3 Magic Five, #5 Horsetailspeedster, #6 Macho Brew

    Cost $24

    Race 3

    #7 Bill of Rights has been very popular at the claim box and he again makes his first start for a new barn. He won here last October over a sloppy track and looks to be in the right spot to get his picture taken again. #2 Bad Student boast the best last Beyer figure. He is making his first start with the Hartman barn that gets 23% winners with first off the claim. 1A Barrymore exits a very impressive win and expect him to close for part here.

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #2 Wayward Sailor, #2 Bad Student, 1A Barrymore, #5 Whatthecatdrugin, #7 Bill of Rights

    Cost $12

    Race 4

    #11 Farz finished 5th in his last start but was only beaten 1 ¾ lengths for all of it. He should be fit off that one and like his works over the dirt course in Saratoga. He should be dangerous on or off the grass. #7 Ascend just missed in his last start posting an 83 Beyer figure. #12 Victory Torch improved significantly last out and could land a share here with a similar effort.

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #6 Malibu Preacher, #7 Ascend, #8 Stardom Found, #11 Farz, #12 Victory Torch

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #6 Desvelo is making his 3rd start of this cycle and finds a softer spot from his last 2. Winner at the distance and his been successful on an off track if the rains keep coming. #4 Klisz won his comeback effort last out. He has consistently hit the board in recent form. #7 O T B Bob also won his comeback effort and has only been off the board once this year in 6 starts.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #1 Mal Guapo, #4 Klisz, #6 Desvelo, #7 O T B Bob

    Cost $24

    Race 6

    #10 Take It Like a Man is 2 for 2 at Keeneland and is making a significant drop in class. He is also 3 for 5 at this distance. #6 Oltre’Oro making his first start off the claim for the Sharp barn. Barn get 27% winners with first off the claim runners. #9 Magical Moment just missed at this level last out.

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #2 Pulpit’s Legacy, #6 Oltre’ Oro, #8 Fruit Ludt, #9 Magical Moment, #10 Take It Like a Man

    Cost $12

    Race 7 begins the Late Pick 4

    #4 Conquest Tiz One has a solid race under her belt and barn has been hot with its Maiden runners so far. #11 Well Acquainted brings a solid work tab to her debut effort. Barn is 17% with firsters. #9 TownTart should have gained fitness off her first effort and should land part here.

    Race 8

    #9 Camelot Kitten dug in hard in the stretch to win his debut effort. That gutsy performance along with his formidable team may give him a slight edge here. #8 Siding Spring dominated his competition in his debut effort at Kentucky Downs. The Warrior’s Reward colt can cover some ground and a likely player here.  #10 Don’t Be Salty posted a strong Beyer number last out winning by 9 ¾ lengths. The Contessa charge has 2 wins and a very strong 3rd place finish with listed stakes company in 3 lifetime starts.

    Race 9

    #3 is Untapable, winner of over $3 million. She is making her 3rd start of this cycle, she has been beaten her last 2 but look for her to settle a bit better here and find her best stride late. #4 Got Lucky just beat Untapable last out finishing 2nd in the Grade 1 Personal Ensign. Filly has 3 wins in 6 starts this year with 2 seconds while keeping top company. #9 Frivolous has been in top form her last 3 starts and definitely poses a threat.

    Race 10

    #9 Miss Blossom didn’t show much in her debut but lands a very soft field here. Barn is very strong with 2nd start maidens and the drop in class should also help. #10 Pretty Priceless turned in a decent effort last out. She adds Lasix for this race. #5 Forever Plus is dropping in class for the Zito barn.

    $.50 Late Pick 4

    Race 7

    #4 Conquest Tiz One, #9 Town Tart, #11 Well Acquainted

    Race 8

    #9 Camelot Kitten #8 Siding Spring #10 Don’t Be So Salty

    Race 9

    #3 Untapable, #4 Got Lucky, #9 Frivolous

    Race 10

    #5 Forever Plus, #9 Miss blossom, #10 Pretty Priceless

    Cost $40.50





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