Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing.
Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.
#1 Bajan Cash - Fair odds 5/2
#4 Just Due - Fair odds 5/2
#6 Private Time - Fair odds 5/2
Exacta: Box 1,4,6
Bajan Cash is one of three horses in the field that has proven he can run well from off the pace. Four of the seven have only shown they can run well when leading from the start or pressing the pace and this gelding ran on for second, beaten a half-length, one race before last, an effort which if repeated here may be good enough to win.
Just Due comes back from two months off, racing at this level for the first time and for a trainer with one winner from one start at the meeting. His last race was an irrelevant route and two of his previous three races before that were stakes races so at this level and with pace to set of his late kick he has a big shot to run back to his off the pace win last November.
Private Time is a perfect two for two on dirt with his other three efforts all on grass. One race before last, Jockey Doyle rode him to victory, beating the top pick by a half – length. The 85 speed figure earned in that February 27 when stacks up nicely with the 84 figure the top pick earned in his February 27 runner up effort and the 88 figure Just Due earned in his when last November so he could be just as tough as either of the other two contenders in this situation.
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