Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing.
Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.
Callingmissbrown - Fair odds 3/1
Open Arms - Fair odds 3/1
Piracy - Fair odds 3/1
Callingmissbrown won in her debut at Delaware Park like a good thing, in spite of being only a half-length ahead at the end. Her jockey lost his stirrups with 3/8 of a mile to go yet she won in spite of him not being able to fully control her, or in spite of it. She adds Lasix for the red hot Graham Motion barn, 7 for 26 at the meeting, and she should improve tremendously off the experience of a race, not to mention with the jockey change to Geroux and a trouble free trip.
Open Arms won in her debut in June like a very talented filly then finished 6th, but in a highly rated race from which the 3rd finisher came back to win and from which the winner (Malibu Stacy) finished 2nd in a stakes last week. She ran poorly after that but again in a KEY race from which both the winner and 3rd finishers came back to win from, and she put in three excellent local works for Wilkes, who with Landeros (who rides this gal) put up an $89 winner last week. Beware!
Piracy rallied to make the lead in the stretch and open up by 2 lengths only to be run down, settling for 2nd at the end. That was her first start in nearly 2 months, and it was at this 7 furlong trip, so being a bit tighter this time gives her a chance to make the lead in the stretch and hang on today.
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