Expert Picks

You are here

Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., August 16


    Mike is Keeneland’s longtime odds maker and is recognized as being one of the best handicappers in America. In addition to his duties at Keeneland, he is a racing analyst for NBC’s Thoroughbred racing coverage.

    Wednesday, April 19, 2017

    1st Race: NUCLEAR OPTION (#5) debuts for Wesley Ward and is owned by Ken and Sarah Ramsey who are overdue for a win. Give him the edge with Garcia up. BREAKIN DAYLIGHT (#1) is in the capable hands of Steve Asmussen and has to be considered. TEN CITY (#6) is training well for Kenny McPeek and is a definite contender. 

    2nd Race: CROOKED AS CAN BE (#6) is a 9-year-old veteran who needed his last race and should move forward. Trainer Brad Cox drops him in for a tag and he looks best at this level. LOTTO CAT (#7) comes off a win in February and has been training steadily since then. He will be tough if at his best. TATTAGLIA (#4) owns a win over the Keeneland surface and is a contender. 

    3rd Race:FUERZA (#2) ran well in both of her races on the Gulfstream turf and figures to be ready for her best performance in her third career start. She figures get a good trip from the rail with Javier Castellano back aboard for trainer Michael Matz and rates the edge. NO FAULT (#1) narrowly beat the top pick last out and had a bullet work here on April 8 for Vicki Oliver. She is definitely the one to beat. BROOKS HOUSE (#6) ran well here in October and needed his race in Tampa. She fits with these. 

    4th Race:VITAL (#7) goes postward for Wesley Ward in the second 2-year-old race on today's card. He only shows one work but Ward's horses have won three of the four juvenile races and he gets the nod. AMBERSPATRIOT (#9) is a filly taking on the boys. Big John Hancock trains this one and he won the 2-year-old race on Thursday. BAYTOWN LEX (#6) was second on opening day and has to be respected. 

    5th Race:LOLA'S THE ONE (#8) has run well in all three races since moving to the turf and could spring the mild upset in what looks like a well-matched race. SPELLKER (#3) has been favored in five of her six races and just got up for her maiden win last out. She is the one to beat but will probably be overbet. JERSEY HEIST (#10) should handle the move to turf and fits with these. 

    6th Race:KIRBY'S PENNY (#1) was impressive in her first start on the dirt winning easily here on opening day. She was claimed from that one and looks like a good bet to make it two in a row despite the class hike. DEE DEE BERTIE (#5) drops in for a tag for the first time and also owns a win over the Keeneland main track. She has the tactical speed to be in contention throughout and is the one to beat. AUDREY'S DOUBLE (#3) just missed when dropped last out at Fair Grounds and is a solid threat. 

    7th Race:BRASS COMPASS (#4) came back after a five-month layoff to win his 4-year-old debut at Gulfstream. He should improve off that performance and can upset this well-matched field with Luis Saez back aboard for trainer Mark Casse. SECURITY RISK (#11) just missed last out in a tough field and figures to be dangerous despite the outside post. SURGICAL STRIKE (#7) will be running at the end and fits in here. 

    8th Race: FAT DADDY (#8) flashed good early speed in his debut but stopped badly after being bumped and checked in the stretch. He has been gelded since that race and trainer Brad Cox adds blinkers for this one. Give him the edge on the class drop. PROUDLY HIGH (#2) has had two races for trainer Buff Bradley and is also eligible to move forward in his first try for a tag. NETELA (#5) was third in his debut here in October and fits with these. 




Keeneland Association, Inc. 4201 Versailles Road
Lexington, Kentucky 40510
Telephone: (859) 254-3412 Toll Free: (800) 456-3412 Fax: (859) 255-2484

©1999-2015 Keeneland Association, Inc. All Rights Reserved