Expert Picks

You are here

Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., December 18

    Ellis Starr

    Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing. Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.


    Sunday, October 15, 2017

    Race 1

    #3 Sanavi – Fair odds 5/2

    #4 Ostentation – Fair odds 3/1

    #5 Whateverybodywants – Fair odds 7/2

    Exacta: Box 3,4,5

    Sanavi cost $350K at auction in September, 2015 but must not have shown a lot of ability so was risked in a 35K maiden claimer first out and on dirt in June when in the Pletcher barn. He won and no one claimed him then he finished 4th and 5th on turf before moving back to dirt and romping by 4 1/2 lengths in a non-winners claimer. Claimed out of that race he tried turf again and ran poorly again. Claimed out of that race by high percentage trainer Rivelli, the colt moves back to dirt and a repeat of his last dirt effort with a 91 figure on 8/18 should be good enough to win here.

    Ostentation has been 1st or 2nd in 4 straight races, the most recent with a big rally from 8th, 14 lengths back, to miss by 3/4 of a length on the wire. Graham rides back and the last race 89 figure effort might be good enough to beat the top pick's best race with just modest improvement.

    Whateverybodywants runs first off the Diodoro claim, like Rivelli (trainer of Sanavi) a trainer that wins an above average percentage of the time right off the claim. Lanerie replaces Gilligan, a positive jockey change, and although likely to be bet more heavily than is reasonable for a horse that has a 2 for 14 career record, and therefore a poor win bet, this horse has to be used on any exacta tickets we play at the very least.

    Follow Me on Twitter @Ubercapper

    Other racing content

    Analysis of major stakes races every Friday at equibase.com/free

    Weekend Key Races Blog at amwager.com/handicapping

    Weekend Key Races Podcast at ubercapper.podbean.com

    Free Selection for one free race daily at:

    Woodbine - woodbineentertainment.com/Woodbine/Pages/handicapping.aspx

    Keeneland - keeneland.com/racing/expert-picks/starr

    Santa Anita – santaanita.com/author/ellisstarr

    You can get my selections and analysis for the entire Keeneland card at Equibase, TrackMaster, Keeneland Select, TVG, Twinspires, Xpressbet as well as many and other wagering sites, usually in the handicapping store.

     

Pages

 

Keeneland

Keeneland Association, Inc. 4201 Versailles Road
Lexington, Kentucky 40510
Telephone: (859) 254-3412 Toll Free: (800) 456-3412 Fax: (859) 255-2484

©1999-2015 Keeneland Association, Inc. All Rights Reserved