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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

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E.g., October 19

    Ellis Starr

    Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing. Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.

    Friday, October 6, 2017

    Race #9

    #1 Princess Warrior - Minimum Odds 2/1
    #2 Pacific Gale - Minimum Odds 3/1
    #6 Bet She Wins - Minimum Odds 7/2
    #9 Heavenly Love - Minimum Odds 7/2

    We may also want to consider #7 Kelly's Humor, who finished 2nd in the recently run Pocahontas Stakes but with that race yielding a much lower figure (78 for this horse) than many of the other entrants here. Given she's a 2 year old filly who can improve, and who did earn an 88 figure sprinting to win the Ellis Park Debutante Stakes prior to that, she's hard to completely ignore.

    Princess Warrior gets the ground saving rail for this race, only the 2nd of her career. Considering how powerfully she won first time out with a mature rally from 4th and that jockey Hernandez should have her in a great position early either on the lead or just off the pacesetter, any logical improvement off that effort, which already is the fastest race any horse in this field has run with a 104 Equibase figure, should lead to her winning this race.

    Pacific Gale also goes long for the first time, with the 2nd best last race in the field (94 Equibase figure) when winning the Sorority Stakes in New Jersey, rather easily by 3 lengths. She's bred to run even better at this longer distance and is on a pattern for a new career best figure.

    Bet She Wins dominated by 9 lengths to win the Arlington-Washington Lassie Stakes at seven furlongs around one turn on the all-weather surface at Arlington Park last month. She ran well at two turns before that when 2nd at a mile on grass and although she would need improvement off the 88 figure earned, leap frogging the top two contenders in terms of how fast she can run to win here is not out of the question.

    Heavenly Love ran just okay when 3rd of 8 in her debut sprinting on dirt in June but when coming back 2 1/2 months later was much more mature and rallied from 10th of 12 early to win by 5. That race was on turf but her breeding suggests she will actually prefer dirt and longer distances so has lots of improving to do off that 90 figure effort last out. As such, an upset win is certainly possible.

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