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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 22

    Ellis Starr

    Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing. Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.


    Thursday, October 12, 2017

    Race #4

    #8 Tiger Eyes - Minimum odds7/5

    #4 Moolamiss - Minimum odds8/5

    Exacta: 4,8 over ALL (The cost of these bets at the $1 level is $16 and we win if either #8 or #4 wins regardless of who finished 2nd. This bet is often made in lieu of a win bet with obvious win contenders likely to be low odds, hoping a longshot finishes 2nd.

    Tiger Eyes and Moolamiss are the obvious win contenders in this 20K claimer and likely most bettors will be in agreement so they will both be low odds, making the race more easily winnable but not as profitable as races with more uncertain outcomes. That's one of the reasons for the exacta wager above, hoping perhaps to split the two contenders with a longshot in second for additional profit.

    Tiger Eyes goes for her 3rd straight win and gets a great outside post to stalk the pacesetters and take over in the stretch just as she did in her 8/27 effort. Her last two Equibase figures of 92 and 90 top the field and she appears to be holding her competitive form. Moolamiss won at this 7 furlong distance one race before last on 8/6 and had a big issue coming out of the gate last time out when she brushed it, never running much thereafter. Jockey Valdivia was up for the win and continues to ride and the 88 Equibase figure earned in that 8/6 win is nearly on par with Tiger Eyes' recent efforts so she is the other horse with the bulk of the probability to win.

    Follow Me on Twitter @Ubercapper

    Other racing content

    • Major Stakes Race Analysis posted every Friday at equibase.com/free
    • Weekend Key Races Blog at amwager.com/handicapping
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    Woodbine - woodbineentertainment.com/Woodbine/Pages/handicapping.aspx

    Keeneland - keeneland.com/racing/expert-picks/starr

    Santa Anita – santaanita.com/author/ellisstarr

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