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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 25

    Ellis Starr

    Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase. He publishes detailed analysis and selections for Keeneland and other tracks regularly which can be found at Equibase, Keeneland Select and other web sites. Ellis writes a widely distributed “Race of the Week” article which appears on the Equibase web site as well as America’s Best Racing. Ellis can be heard on the Horse Racing Radio Network's "Weekend Stakes Preview" show every Friday from 6 to 7 pm (ET) covering major stakes races throughout North America. Ellis will be posting his analysis daily for one race taken right from his complete selection and analysis report. Additionally, you can follow Ellis’ insights on twitter @ubercapper.

    Wednesday, October 21, 2015

    Race #8 - Rating = 2

    #1 Defer Heaven - Fair odds 2/1
    #6 Abbaa - Fair odds 3/1
    #5 Rockin Donovan - Fair odds 7/2
    #7 Plunder - Fair odds 7/2
    Exacta: Box 1,5,6,7 (The cost of this 4-horse exacta box is $12 at the $1 level and we win if any 2 of the 4 finish 1st and 2nd in any order).
    Defer Heaven LOVES TO WIN RACES, with 10 victories in 21 career dirt races, including one just one race before last on 9/13. He likes to lead from the start and jockey Lanerie can get him out quickly from his rail draw. He's also 2 for 3 at Keeneland and was claimed out of his last race, a 3rd place finish here at Keeneland 19 days ago, by a trainer that doesn't start many but who does VERY good with those he does start, evidenced by a 7 for 32 record on the year.
    Abbaa has finished 2nd in his last 2 races, both against higher level runners, and although he likes to lead early like the top pick I don't think they will get into a battle early so this one may be in a great spot in 2nd from the opening bell and still in contention at the end.
    Rockin Donovan also drops in class, so even though his last six efforts have been poor he could move up by default, particularly for a trainer who has won with 25% of his starters this year. Plunder may be the one to pass them all if Defer Heaven and Abbaa battle for the early lead and tire. He closed from 4th to win one race before last and has been in the money (1st through 3rd) in 10 of 14 races this year, with his last win coming the only time today's jockey (Geroux) was aboard.

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