Expert Picks

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., February 14

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Sunday, October 18, 2015

    Race 1

    #8 Lost in Success can boast the best last Beyer figure and looks capable of a gate to wire win here. #3Tothyownsilf, like the consistent numbers this mare has, she picks up regular paychecks and could boost exotics. #5 Gracee Goo hasn’t seen the winners circle this year but she is dropping a bit in class here and should be competitive.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 So Many Dreams, #3 Tothyownself, #5 Gracee Goo, #8 Lost in Success

    Cost $12


    Race 2

    #6 Guessed Right exits a win at Churchill for $16K and brings a strong Beyer number from that race. #4 Lucy’s Revenge moves back to the dirt after a couple of turf efforts with some tough company. Class relief should make her a player here. #1 Spoonfulofsugar has never won on the dirt but looks like she could land share at this level.

    $2 Exacta Box

    #4 Lucy’s Revenge, #6 Guessed Right

    Cost $4


    Race 3

    #2 Gimmeadrink hasn’t missed a check in 7 starts this year including 5 wins. His last 4 starts have been over the synthetic at Arlington but his dirt form is just as good. #8 Bad Student a winner here for $10K on 10/4/15 is looking for the hat trick. Definitely a player in this field. #4 It’ll Be Fine is another bringing back to back wins and fits here.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    31 Dynabeaver, #2 Gimmeadrink, #4 It’ll Be Fine, #8 Bad Student

    Cost $12


    Race 4

    #6 Za Approval has been facing Graded Stakes company in all but 1 of his 8 starts this year. He has hit the board 5 of 8 of those starts. He has had a short freshener and the softer company should suit him here. #8 Grand Contender just missed last time for $50K at Churchill. Consistent performer looks dangerous with these. #1 Decisive Moment has enough early foot to suggest he can hold on for part at the mile distance.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Decisive Moment, #6 Za Approval, #7 One Touch, #8 Grand Contender

    Cost $12


    Race 5

    #3 Cowboy Rhythm is making his 2nd career start and brings a solid worktab. Ran third to Union Jackson in that race who was a very impressive winner here at Keeneland earlier in the meet. #7 Rock Star Status has a bit more bottom under him with 3 starts but has been the beaten favorite in all 3 starts. The stretch out in distance could help him find the winners circle. #4 First Growth deserves a look with these as does #8 Saneem who are both very well bred.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 Cowboy Rhythm, #7 Rock Star Status, #4 First Growth, #8 Saneem

    Cost $12


    Race 6

    #3 Queen Pauline was $500K weanling purchase by Stonestreet Stables and the Tapit filly has been working like she was worth the price. The Asmussen barn is having a good meet and like this filly to win first time out. #9 Beach Walk was $435K September Keeneland graduate and makes her first start for the Catalano barn. Sharp works for this filly also. #6 Scatnap is making her debut for the Tomlinson barn. Barn has a strong percentage with firsters. Will also take the 1 and 1A as both are legitimate contenders and its 2 for 1.

    $.50 Trifecta box

    #3 Queen Pauline, #1 Twirl Girl, #6 Scatnap, #9 Beach Walk

    Cost $12


    Race 7

    #6 Cassatt is coming off the layoff and this is obviously a good place to start for her year-end campaign. Trainer Jones has placed this talented filly in perfect spots and trust he has her right here. Works are sharp and she looks good for the win. #3You Bought Her, has been keeping tough company this year and comes in off a short freshening. This distance is right for her and expect a big effort. #7 Spring Included, throw out the last one, she obviously didn’t care for Kentucky Downs, and form is quite impressive. #4 Wind Chill Factor, have to give this filly a look. Four out 5 wins last year with stakes company. She comes over fresh with a solid work tab.

    $.50 Trifecta box

    #3 You Bought Her, #4 Wind Chill Factor, #6 Cassatt, #7 Spring Included

    Cost $12


    Race 8

    #8 Ceisteach looks to have the stamina to keep herself close to the lead and out of trouble in this field going the distance of 1 ½ miles. She tired in her last but was coming off a bit of break and probably needed that one. #3 Interject has rounded in to good form since moving to the turf and this distance should suit her. #1 Kitten’s Point won the Grade 3 Bewitch stakes here last spring at this distance and definitely presents a threat. #6 Trophee is a consistent performer that draws Leparoux to the saddle.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Kittens Point, #3 Interject, #6 Trophee, #8 Ceisteach

    Cost $12


    Race 9

    #2 Moonlit Meteor just missed at this level opening day in the mud. Expect him to come back tough here. #10 Oltre’ Oro is making first star off the claim for the Sharp barn. He exits a nice win at Saratoga. #7 Wild Target is also making his first start off the claim and drops slightly in class. #4 C’Mon Cat has been competitive with similar in recent form.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #2 Moonlight Meteor, #4 C’Mon Cat, #7 Wild Target, #10 Oltre’ Oro

    Cost $12




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