Expert Picks

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland. To see the analysis provided by each handicapper, choose a handicapper name on the left, then choose a date.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 25

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Friday, October 16, 2015

    Race 1

    Going with the first time starter here. #3 On Attack brings a solid work tab and draws Albarado to the saddle. Barn is 14% with their firsters and this guy lands in a fairly soft bunch for his debut. 2b The Right Thing led the way in his last and tired finishing 3rd.  He can boast the best last Beyer figure. 1a Discreet Move also showed the way in his last start and tired finishing 3rd.  Should improve here.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 On Attack, #4 Midnight Lovin, #2b The Right Thing, 1a Discreet Move

    Cost $12

    Race 2

    Playing the early Pick 4

    #4 Karlyrae’swarrior dropping out of allowance company and comes over with the hot Chris Richard barn. Like his form at Ellis this summer and like him for the win here. #3 Borseggiatore is making his first start off the claim for the Joe Sharp barn, barn is 27% with this sort. Adding blinkers and recent New York form suggest he could be dangerous at this level. #5 Dadtaughtmewell has strong form before the stakes at Prairie Meadows. He was also unsuccessful when trying the synthetic and turf courses. A return to the dirt at this level should boost his confidence. #2 Fenerbahce exits a nice win at Churchill and keeps Lanerie in the saddle.

    Race 3

    #5 Scatter Gun was quite the impressive winner at Kentucky Downs breaking her maiden. Recent work at Keeneland suggests she can transfer that form to the dirt. #6 Titanium turned a decent performance in her last at Saratoga with strong company. Love her form at Churchill in the spring and consider her player with this bunch. #4 Miss Cobblestone was the beaten favorite here on the 9th with similar company. Making her 2nd start of this cycle and goes to Leparoux for this event.

    Race 4

    #11 Ground Force is an old warhorse that can still hold his own with this type of company. Beaten favorite last out but got carried wide and should be tough here with a better trip. #3 Jersey Blue Giant likes to win races. Five for 7 this year and this level suits him. #2 Arborville was beaten last out but that was the first off a summer vacation. Expect a better effort here.

    Race 5

    Will single #3 Jrock in the last leg.  The Kenneally charge broke his maiden over the Keeneland course and has a recent sharp work.

    $.50 Early Pick 4

    Race 2

    #4 Karlyrae’swarrior, #3 Borseggaitore, #5 Dadtaughtmewell, #2 Fenerbahce

    Race 3

    #4 Miss Cobblestone, #5 Scatter Gun, #6 Titanium

    Race 4

    #2 Arborville, #3 Jersey Blue Giant, #11 Ground Force

    Race 5

    #3 Jrock

    Cost $18

    Race 6

    #4 Cavallucci improved significantly when moving to the grass last time. He shortens up a bit here and looks capable of a gate to wire performance. #6 Czar making is 3rd of this cycle definitely poses a threat but he seems happy settling for minor awards and not confindent he can get by Cavallucci if he gets loose on the lead. #5 Street Action is looking to improve over the turf course and leaves his blinkers in the barn for this one.  Expect this Street Cry gelding to close strong.

    $5 across the board

    #4 Cavallucci

    Cost $15

    Race 7 begins the Late Pick 4

    Will single #6 Moonlight Sky. Debut effort was impressive and barn is so good with 2 year olds.

    Race 8

    #3 Mary Mahoneys Girl has improved with each of her 4 starts. She is back on the dirt after breaking her maiden over the synthetic but recent work over Keeneland’s main course suggest she will be fine. #5 All Day Alice exits Grade 3 company and should appreciate the class relief. #2 Milehigh Butterfly hasn’t won a race this year but ran well in her last and has faced some tough competition. This may be the right spot. Will also use #4 Strike Back Fast making her first start for new barn and #6 Private Estate from the Catalano barn.

    Race 9

    #6 Asia from the hot Ward barn looks very good here. Sharp work preparing and gets in light with the bug.

    Race 10

    Tough race to pick, pretty even bunch. Will hit the all button here. Giving #5 Reeder the edge for the win. The Speightstown gelding ran a big race here last fall at this distance and should appreciate this level. #1 Apocalypse is from the Hartman barn that is 2 for 5 at Keeneland this meet and this guy has been competitive at this level. #4 Media Time well beaten last out but drops in class here and has shown some flashes of real talent in past form.  

    $.50 Late Pick 4

    Race 7

    #6 Moonlight Sky

    Race 8

    #2 Milehigh Butterfly, #3 Mary Mahoneys Girl, #4 Strike Back Fast, #5 All Day Alice, #6 Private Estate

    Race 9

    #6 Asia

    Race 10


    Cost $27.50





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