Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 29

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Sunday, October 11, 2015

    Race 1

    #3 Chella loves to win races. 7 for 8 this year she is hard to bet against. #4 She’sabrees is another consistent performer. She exits races over the synthetic but her previous dirt form is strong. #5 Rulelikecleopatra exits a 6 length win at Indiana.

    $5 Exacta Box

    #3 Chella, #4 She’sabrees

    Cost $10

    Race 2

    #6 Rare Medal drops in for her lowest tag in 6 career starts. The well bred filly has been working quite well over the Keeneland course. #3 Mystra also making a slight drop in class looks  capable of landing a share here. #1 Lady Gamelton didn’t show much last out but has turned in stronger efforts and could hold on for part.

    $10 to win

    #6 Rare Medal

    Cost $10

    Race 3

    #5 Eton Blue won here in the spring for $50K. He has consistently hit the board this year. #1 General Ike has been off since Feb. but brings a very sharp work tab. #3 Cerro has early foot and should hold on for part.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 General Ike, #3 Cerro, #4 Belvin, #5 Eton Blue

    Cost $12

    Race 4

    #7 Tiger Paw turned in a good effort in his debut over the Kentucky Downs course. He adds blinkers for his return and the extra distance should suit him as well. #6 Ransack is a firster for the Pletcher barn. He has nice works and top connections. #9 Sea of Erin shortens up just a bit and adds blinkers.

    $.10 Superfecta box

    #2 Cherry, #6 ransack #7 Tiger Paw, #9 Sea of Erin, #11 Gaultier

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #10 Adonica likes this distance and Mena returns to the saddle. Longshot in morning odds but wide open field here and she has shown some closing kick in the past. #12 Miss Reditore won easily in her last at Churchill but she hasn’t been able to put 2 wins in row together in recent form. Still lands in a soft spot and deserves a look. #11 Jacksoncountryflash also a winner last out and looks competitive with these.

    $5 to win and place

    #10 Adonica

    Cost $10

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #1 Royal Alluvial, #2 Have Faith Sister, #10 Adonica, #11 Jacksoncountyflash, #12 Miss Reditore

    Cost $12

    Race 6 begins the late Pick 4

    #5 Battle Tap tired in his debut effort in the spring. He has since but working quite well and expect a much improved effort here. #3 Silvertown has the experience edge over these. His last race he dug in to land a 2nd place finish. #4 Ranger Maxx caught very fast early fractions in his debut and should improve off that one. #11 Synchrony turned in a decent performance in his debut and the well bred son of Tapit could show up very tough here.

    Race 7

    #9 Pep the Champ is making first off the claim for the Joe Sharp barn. Barn is 27% with this type and the colt has a sharp recent work. #4 Mission Driven finished a nice 3rd in the Dueling Grounds Derby last out. He is 2 for 2 at this distance. #2 Mister Maestro has only 3 starts to his credit and can boast 2 wins. #6 Winter’s Gift came off a long layoff last time to win in gate to wire fashion. Barn having a very good meet.

    Race 8

    #8 Zambian Dream is making his 3rd start since coming to the United States and his first on the dirt. His 2 previous efforts are good enough to expect him to be dangerous here. #5 Hazards of Love is an exceptional older horse. He seldom misses a check and he is in a good spot here.

    Race 9

    #10 Play the Break closed from the clouds last time to break her maiden over the Churchill grass. She can repeat with a good trip here. #8 Sunset Knoll won in gate to wire fashion last time and Keeneland is her home base which may prove to her advantage. #7 Nancy Ride is an improving sort and draws Leparoux to the saddle.

    $.50 Late Pick 4

    Race 6

    #3 Silvertown, #4 Ranger Maxx, #5 Battle Tap, #11 Synchrony

    Race 7

    #2 Mister Maestro, #4 Mission Driven, #6 Winter’s Gift, #9 Pep the Champ

    Race 8

    #5 Hazards of Love, #8 Azmbian Dream

    Race 9

    #7 Nancy Ride, #8 Sunset Knoll, #10 Play the Break

    Cost $48





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