Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., Sunday, October 4, 2015

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Friday, October 2, 2015

    Race 1

    #7 Defer Heaven exits a win with similar company and is 2 for 2 over the Keeneland course. His early speed should carry him to a gate to wire win over a predicted wet track. #1 Moonlit Meteor is 6 for 7 this year suggesting his team spots him very well.He is also 4 for 4 at this distance and a winner over a wet course. #6 Livonzin making his 3rd start off the layoff looks capable of landing part.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #7 Defer Heaven, #1 Moonlit Meteor, #6 Livonzin, #4 Proven Warrior.

    Cost $24.

    Race 2

    #7 Street Strategy is entered for main track only and looks like he will get his shot to run. The Street Sense colt has been on the shelf since June but works suggest he is ready to go.#3 Pablo Del Monte took on the best of the 3 year olds last year and turned in some competitive performances. In recent form he has been sprinting but expect his class to land him a share here. #4 One Touch is making his 3rd start off the layoff and is exiting a good effort last out. He is proven over a wet course , like him for part.

    $20 to win

    #7 Street Strategy

    Race 3

    #10 Aztec Sense has turned in a bullet work since his first start and adds Lasix this time. The added distance and an off track seems to suit his pedigree. #7 Conquest Big E was a bit of a handfull in his first start but did land a 2nd place finish. Blinkers are staying in the barn which may help him settle a bit this time around. #9 Ifyousnoozeyoulose showed speed and tired in his debut effort. Fitness from that start should help him on hold on for part.

    $5 Across the board

    #10 Aztec Sense

    Cost $15

    Race 4

    #5 Gangster broke his maiden convincingly at this distance in his 2nd lifetime start. After a short layoff he came out of the bridle in his return trip and disappointed as the favorite with similar company at Belmont. Still connections and Beyer numbers make him a dangerous competitor in this event. Will try to beat the 8/5 morning line favorite with #3 Awopaho. This colt has a win and a 2nd in his last 2 starts and keeps Albarado in the irons. Sharp work over the course. #1 Raagheb has some nice races under his belt and comes in fresh.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #3 Awopaho, #1 Raaghep, #5 Gangster #2 Flash Trading

    Cost $24

    Race 5

    #3 Conquest Windycity looks tough to beat here. He suffered a tough trip last out as the favorite in the Grade 3 Iroquois managing only a 4th place finish. Bridgmohan stays on board and expect him to find the winners circle here. #9 Donegal Moon puts on the blinkers for his 3rd career start and expect him to be very competitive here. #7 Say Hey Kid improved significantly last time out. That experience should put him on the board with these.

    $5 Exacta Box

    #3 Conquest Windycity, #9 Donegal Moon

    Cost $10

    Race 6

    #5 Pin Up, a very well bred filly, just missed in her last start. She should have gained confidence and fitness off that one and show up sharp here. #1 Emperesse should like the off going and add some value to the exotics. #9 Honey Chile Ryder out ran her odds last time out and looks good for part here.

    $1 Trifecta Box

    #1 Emperesse, #5 Pin Up, #9 Honey Chile Ryder, #10 Miss Mo Kelly

    Cost $24

    Race 7

    Start of the late pcik 4.  #3 House of Sole is a consistent sort having not missed a check in 7 starts. #6 Thunder Bay has strong connections and is another consistent performer. Expect her to like the off going as well. #10 Enchantress has been keeping very tough company and should appreciate the drop in class.

    Race 8

    #1 Runhappy was so impressive in the Grade 1 King Bishop and has since turned in a very sharp work over the Keeneland course. #12 Work All Week, winner of this race last year over an off track, is just an incredible racehorse and always a threat.

    Race 9

    #9 Dothraki Queen was a very professional winner of the Grade 2 Pochantas in her last start. #8 Lookout Sister should show early speed and map prove tough to catch. #11 Just Wicked is a Grade 2 winner and top conncections bring her over.

    Race 10

    #1 Sound of Freedom is making his first start off the layoff but looks like he has found the right spot to pick up a check. #4 Medal of Courage turned in a good effort last time and has decent Beyer numbers. #12 Fancy Man exits a key race and should appreciate this company.

    $.50 Pick 4

    Race 7

    #3 House of Sole, #6 Thuder Bay, #10 Enchantress

    Race 8

    #1 Runhappy, #12 Work All Week

    Race 9

    #7 Dream Dance, #8 Lookout Sister, #9 Dothraki Queen, #11 Just Wicked

    Race 10

    #4 Medal of Courage, #5 Sound of Freedom, #12 Fancy Man

    Cost $36




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