Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., 2014-07-25

    Kim Nelson

    Kim Nelson has grown up with horses in Kentucky. She began her career with Thoroughbreds at North Ridge Farm in Lexington, KY where she worked with foaling mares and yearlings. She moved on from there to work for Carl Nafzger as an assistant trainer and exercise rider. After the birth of her daughter she changed careers to handicapping for the Daily Racing Form. Once the Daily Racing Form closed its handicapping department in Lexington, Kim was very fortunate to land a position with Marylou Whitney Stables. She is now the assistant racing and breeding manager for Mrs. Whitney.


    Friday, April 18, 2014

    ~~Friday, April 18, 2014
    Race 1
    #4 Scenario Analysis was just beat in her last start and was claimed by the Tomlinson barn. She adds blinkers for her first start back off the layoff. Past form suggests she fits here. #3 Who’s Mary’s Daddy has the early foot to show the way and a smart rider in Albarado. She should stay for part. #2 Ginny’s Grey likes the distance, is a consistent sort and is making her 2nd off the layoff. Lots of things to like about her.
    $10 to win and place
    #4 Scenario Analysis
    Cost $20
    Race 2
    #4 Arch Pearl is making his U.S. debut and has been working steady for the event. Pedigree is right for the poly and he will have some value at the windows. #3 Everyday is the 8-5 morning line favorite. He has 3 starts and 2 second place finishes along with decent Beyer numbers. #2 First Beach actually won his last start but was disqualified. He should be back on the board with these.
    .50 Trifecta Box
    #2 First Beach, #3Everyday, #4 Arch Pearl, #4 Decamp
    Cost $12
    Race 3
    #2 Thunder Strike has been keeping strong company across the pond and holding his own. Barn is strong with this type and the colt has been working well. #1 Chart Topper has a couple of strong Beyer numbers from his last 2 starts and the early speed to benefit from the rail post. #4 Lemon Point will be fresh off the layoff and likely up for part.
    .50 Trifecta Box
    #1 Chart Topper, #2 Thunder Strike, #4 Lemon Point, #5 Bisque
    Cost $12
    Race 4
    #2 Rememberalways is jumping up in class a bit from her last start but barn is very good off the claim. The mare has been a popular claim and like her chances to light up the board. #4 Electro Peg’s form looks like this spot will suit her. #5 Courtly Flyer has a race over the track and drops a bit for this one.
    .50 Trifecta box
    #1A Clear Code, #2 Remembermealways, #4 Electro Peg’s, #5 Courtly Flyer
    Cost $12
    Race 5
    #6 War Ready has a race over the course and should improve off that one. #5 No Free Lunch has been 2nd in his last 2 starts and has a sharp work over the Keeneland course. He is the morning line favorite at 5-2. #4 Hijo Del Corredor is making his first start off the claim for the Maker barn.
    .10 Superfecta Box
    #4 Hijo Del Corredor, #5 No Free Lunch, #6 War Ready, #10 Cocico, #11 Go Gamecocks
    Cost $12
    Race 6
    #5 Ruefully is a first time starter for the Sheppard barn. Sharp work over the track and draws Napravinik to the saddle. #11 Temper is another firster that has a strong work tab. #9 Nanette’s Spirit is also a firster who has been well prepared.
    .10 Superfecta box
    #4 Ready Player One, #5 Ruefully, #9 Nanette’s Spirit, #10 So Festive, #11 Temper
    Cost $12
    .50 Late Pick 4
    Race 7
    #10 Song to You, #8 Red Vine, #4 Rei
    Race 8
    #4 Seanchai, #2 Lonesome Town, #1 Lady Rouge
    Race 9
    #10 Emollient, #7 Sisterly Love, #11 Strathnaver
    Race 10
    #3 Fighter Squadron, #6 Twigazuri Strait, #9 Honor the Kitten
    Cost $40.50
     

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