Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 29

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Saturday, October 17, 2015

    Race 1

    Can’t bet against the favorite in this one. She has the early speed and the form to take this bunch gate to wire. #2 Lotta Attitude has been very popular for $40k in recent form. She loves this distance. #2 Rusticana deserves a look off her last 2 performances.

    $1 Trifecta Key

    #1 over all

    Cost #12

    Race 2

    #4 Gallant Speed exits a sharp performance at this level making only his 2nd start. Hot barn brings them over to win. #2 Brett Park has been settling for minor awards in 11 starts. He is making her 3rd start of this cycle and could find the winners circle. #1 Al Risala is making his first start for the Lukas barn. While barn doesn’t get many first out winners, they are well prepared and usually land a share.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Al Risala, #2 Brett Park, #4 Gallant Steed, #6 I Believe I Can

    Cost $12

    Race 3

    #1 Rastanora probably has the best shot of getting this distance. She adds blinkers and recent races should have her fit. #2 Seagrass is stretching out for the first time and the added distance may prove beneficial for this filly’s closing stride. #7 Ultimatum turned in a decent debut effort and should improve off that one.

    $2 Exacta Box

    #1 Rastanora, #2 Seagrass, #7 Ultimatum

    Cost $12

    Race 4

    #5 Torcida is making her 3rd start of this cycle and gets some class relief. Past form suggests she is capable of win against these. #2 See Through leaves the blinkers behind and should be sharp off her last. #7 Little Norwegian draws hot jock Leparoux to the saddle and is making her 2nd start off the layoff.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #2 See Through, #5 Torcida, #7 Little Norwegian, #8 Littlebitofsense

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #6 Whence impressed in his last over a muddy track. He tired and finished 3rd but was only making his 2nd start and look for him to dominate this time. #4 Urban Bourbon comes over with the Kenneally barn. Making his 3rd career start and should improve. #2 Proud Zip finished a very close 2nd to Mo Tom in his debut effort. Mo Tom came back to finish a very nice third here at Keeneland with allowance company.

    $.50 Trifecta Key

    #6 Whence over all

    Cost $21

    Race 6

    #4 Shadow Rock came off the bench with a decent run with tough company at Churchill. Five and half on the grass is this gelding’s niche and expect him to return to the winners circle here. #6 Bottle Rocket best numbers have come over the grass and they fit here. #3 Great Minds best Beyer figures have also come over the grass at this distance. Been off since July but should land a share.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 Great Minds, #4 Shadow Rock, #6 Bottle Rocket, #7 Yodel

    Cost $12

    Race 7 begins the Late Pick 4

    Very expensive bunch of babies here. #4 Bandwidth, a $225K Keeneland September yearling won by 6 at first asking. He is also flattered by the 2nd place finisher, Synchrony, coming back to win here on the 11th convincingly. The very well-bred #2 Rafting adds Lasix for the first time. He broke his maiden impressively in only his 2nd start. #5 Smart Moon another Keeneland September graduate for $500K also broke his maiden at 2nd asking. #1 Gun Runner found the winners circle first try and has since turned in a bullet work. Giving the slight edge to #4 Bandwidth but will use all of the above in the Pick 4

    Race 8

    #6 I’m Already Sexy Multiple Graded Stakes winner gets the slight edge in here. She ran a huge race last out to finish 2nd in first off a short break. Looks like a nice spot for her to prep for the next level. #1 Emotional Kitten is in top form and comes over with top connections. #2 Overheard is making 3rd start of this cycle and is also a Multiple Graded stakes winner. Will use all three in Pick 4

    Race 9

    #2 Bar of Gold looks like the filly to beat in this one. Second to the amazing Cavorting her last 2 starts turning in willing efforts. She brings a bullet work and looks the part. #7 Forever Unbridled kept some tough company too in her first 6 starts and held her own. She is coming off a summer vacation but this a nice filly that could show up tough first start back. Sticking with these 2 in the Pick 4

    Race 10

    #8 Almost English has been improving with each race off the layoff. Leparoux rode him to his last win and stays on board here. #5Tanner’s Popsicle is looking for a hat trick and comes over from the hot Richard barn. These 2 in the last leg.

    $.50 Pick 4

    Race 7

    #4 Bandwidth, # Rafting, #5 Smart Moon, #1 Gun Runner

    Race 8

    #2 Overheard, #6 I’m Already Sexy, #1 Emotional Kitten

    Race 9

    #2 Bar of Gold, #7 Forever Unbridled

    Race 10

    #5 Tanner’s Popsicle, #8 Almost English

    Cost $24





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