Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., February 6

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Saturday, October 10, 2015

    Race 1

    #1 Control Stake is the 9/5 morning line favorite and have to agree he will be tough to beat. Stakes winner earlier this year he has had some time off and runs well fresh. Barn is strong off the layoff. #7 Loud Cat is a consistent performer and also comes in fresh. #2 Ambidextrous Alex looks capable of part.

    $5 Exacta Box

    #1 Control Stake and #7 Loud Cat

    Cost $10

    Race 2

    #5 Ms Hoochie Coochie is making her first start off the layoff. She drops in to the softest spot she has faced in a while and like her for the win here. #7 Scarletridgerunner likes this distance and brings 7 wins in 15 starts. She fits well here. #6 Pure Legacy is making her first off the claim. Nice win at Churchill last time out.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #4 Susans Quest, #5 Ms Hoochie Coochie, #6  Pure Legacy, #7 Scarletridgerunner

    Cost $12

    Race 3

    #4 Dad Are We Here won here last spring at this level. He was claimed from the Matthews barn that day but the Matthews barn took him back 2 starts ago. #6 Posture won easy in his last start and was claimed by the Woodward barn. Barn is 32% off the claim. #1 Winkatdawat has won his last 2 starts in gate to wire fashion and may prove tough to catch here.

    $.10 Suprfecta Box

    31 Winkatdawat, #2 Bold Shot, #4 Dad Are We Here, #5 Divine View, #6 Posture

    Cost $12

    Race 4

    #5 Market Maker is at 9/5 morning line and definitely looks like the one to beat. Just missed at this level last out, he should be fit and ready here. #1 Smarty Kitten exits key and race a gets some class relief with these. #8 N J Cape is making only his 2nd career start and should improve around 2 turns.

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #1 Smarty Kitten, #5 Market Maker, #6 Feted, #8 N J Cape, #9 Five Rings

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #2 Union Jackson posted a 91 Beyer figure in his debut effort. Anything close to that should win here. #6 Blaze’n Prospector turned in an even effort in his debut but the addition of blinkers and several sharp works since that suggest he will be ready for his return. #8 Walker’s Way leaves his blinkers in the barn this time. Strong effort at Kentucky Downs in his last, expect him to improve in his 3rd career start.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #2 Union Jackson, #5 Bow Tie Boss, #6 Blaze’n Prospector, #8 Walker’s Way

    Cost $12

    Race 6

    #4 Jubal just missed at Kentucky Downs last out. Barn has had 2 nice winners over this turf so far this meet. Tough spot but giving him the edge off his last. #5 Conquest Panthera improved his last start when making his first try over the grass. Kitten’s Joy colt is bred for the grass and comes over with hot barn. #3 West Village lands in a bit softer place and he too is grass pedigree top and bottom.

    $5 to win and place

    #4 Jubal

    Cost $10

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #3 West Village, #4 Jubal, #5 Conquest Panthera, #7 Gin Riki, #10 Tennessee

    Cost $12

    Race 7

    #4 Stageplay is a firster from the Asmussen barn. Very sharp work from the gates over this track and looks like she could get the job done first asking. #2 Banner Waning just missed the win making her 2nd career start. Looks like a player. #5 Holders Season didn’t show much in her debut but got an off track. The expensive Speightstown filly should improve here.

    $.50 Superfecta Box

    #2 J La Tache, #4 Stageplay, #5 Holders Season, #6 Banner Waving, #8 Ready for Chianti

    Cost $12

    Race 8

    #8 Enchantress disappointed here opening day. Beaten favorite over a sloppy track she hopes to redeem herself here. #5 Dark Rain has been in very good form recently and her early foot should land her a share. #3 Another Incident won here at this distance during the spring meet.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 Another Incident, #5 Dark Rain, #6 Salama, #8 Enchantress

    Cost $12

    Race 9

    #9 Sentiero Italia is 3 for 3 at this distance, 2 of those wins with graded company. The deserving favorite in this race and looks tough to beat. #4 Her Emmynency was a close 2nd in the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks last time going this distance for the first time. Talented filly deserves a look. #3 Miss Temple City has been very competitive with Graded company and adds Lasix for the first time here.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 Miss Temple City, #4 Her Emmynency, #8 Feathered, #9 Sentiero Italia

    Cost $12

    Race 10

    #5 White Gladiator tries the dirt for the first time in 6 starts and expect him to find it to his liking. He was competitive with similar company last time and like him for the win here. #4 Self Starter beaten favorite last time should improve off that one. #10 Bird Humor is going 2 turns for the first time in his short career and expect him to like it.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #4 Self Starter, #5 White Gladiator, #1 Vogner, #10 Bird Humor

    Cost $12







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