Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., November 29

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Friday, October 9, 2015

    Race 1

    #5 Scat Daddy is debuting for the Peitz barn. Regular solid works suggest she is ready for her first start and lands in a soft field. #4 Brown Eyed Lady is 6/5 in the morning line. She finished 2nd last out with similar company. #2 Kentucky Dancer well beaten with MSW company in her last start finds softer here and is listed at 8/5 in the morning line.

    $5 across

    #5 Scat Daddy

    Cost $15

    Race 2

    #1 Eileen Evelyn is looking for a hat trick here. Her Beyer numbers have improved with each start this cycle. #2 Artsy has been a popular claim this year. She was a winner here in the spring at this level but was later disqualified from the purse money. Listed at 8/5 in the morning line she looks like a vulnerable favorite but field is soft and expect her to hit the board. #3 Peaceluvncupcakes has early foot and could hold on for part.

    $10 win and place

    #1 Eileen Evelyn

    Cost $20

    Race 3

    Trying to get a little price bit of a price here with #5 Cold Dish. The McPeek charge adds blinkers for her 4th career start and drops in class. 1A Adopt a Kitten has top connections and is also dropping in class but do have concerns with the move to the dirt. Still, might have shot with these. #7 Vasilisa the Wise comes from a high percentage barn with firsters and deserves a look.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #5 Cold Dish, #1a Adopt a Kitten, #7 Vasilisa the Wise

    Cost $6

    Race 4

    #3 Thirteen Arrow is a lightly raced filly with consistent form. She could get loose on the lead here and never look back. #4 Thank You Marylou has been keeping the toughest of company and should be very competitive at this level. #5 Unbridled Explosion is shortening up to 1 turn and adding blinkers.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #3 Thirteen Arrow, #4 Thank You Marylou, #5 Unbridledexplosion, #6 V C F Proud Mary

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #6 My Dutchess Kate turned in her best performance in 3 starts last out. That was her first try on the dirt finishing 3rd with MSW company. The move to the claiming ranks should send her to the winners circle. #4 Carriesaysitbest is an expensive Malibu Moon filly that is still looking for her best stride. The drop in class should boost her confidence. #2 Nancy Doll brings a bullet work and should also improve at this level.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #2 Nancy Doll, #3 Latest Thinking, #4 Carriesaysitbest, #6 My Dutchess Kate

    Cost $12

    Race 6

    #8 Spezia adds Lasix for his 3rd career start. The Speightstown colt was a $400k purchase and expect him to improve here. #3 War Stroll turned in a good effort in his first try. Returns here adding Lasix and draws Leparoux to the saddle. #9 Metal Magic just missed last out and brings a bullet work.

    $5 win and place

    #8 Spezia

    Cost $10

    $.10 Superfecta Box

    #1 True Raj, #3 War Stroll, #7 Missle Bomb, #8 Spezia, #9 Metal Magic

    Cost $12

    Race 7 begins the late Pick 4

    Race 7

    Going 3 deep in the first leg. #5 Neck ‘n Neck exits a Grade 3 win. He is shortening up to a mile here but he hasn’t missed a check at the distance and like that Paco Lopez is staying in the irons. #2 Catron got a horrible trip in his last race. He has had a little break since that and could be very dangerous with a proper trip. #3 Street Strategy is a consistent performer and is 2 for 2 at this distance.

    Race 8

    Going 5 deep in this wide open field. #10 Natural Wonder turned in a gutsy performance in her first try. Posted a strong Beyer number and looks like a player with these. #3 Miss Cobblestone comes off a short rest and recent form with solid company suggest she has a good shot here.  #7 Spyin Feelin adds blinkers and Lasix this time. #6 Swept Up well beaten last out but has shown much more talent than that in previous form. First start with the Lopresti barn. #5 Enoree has competitive Beyer numbers.

    Race 9

    Will single #4 Lady Shipman, Filly is 7 for 8 this year with her only defeat coming when trying 7 furlongs. Back at her favorite distance she looks tough to beat.

    Race 10

    Four deep in the last leg. #4 Cleartap is making her 3rd career start. She hasn’t run since March but has been working very well. The Tapit filly could prove tough here. #6 Charis has experience edge with 6 starts under her belt. #11 Can’t Be Dazzled exits a key race at Ellis. She finished 2nd in that one with the winner returning to win her next out and the 3rd place finisher Foreststone ran a strong 2nd with similar company here on Sunday. #9 Make the Sun Shine is the early  favorite with strong connections.

    $.50 Late Pick 4

    Race 7

    #5 Neck ‘n Neck, #2 Catron, #4 Street Strategy

    Race 8

    #3 Miss Cobblestone, #5 Enoree, #6 Swept Up, #7 Spyin Feelin, #10 Natural Wonder

    Race 9

    #4 Lady Shipman

    Race 10

    #4 Cleartap, #6 Charis, #9 Make the Sun Shine, #11 Can’t Be Dazzled

    Cost $30






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