Expert Picks - Kim Nelson

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Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.

Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.

E.g., February 12

    Kim Nelson

    Kim has been involved with horses all her life. She has worked with pregnant mares, prepping yearlings, managed lay-up barns, exercise rider, assistant trainer and has trained a few of her own horses. She is also very involved in the placement of retired thoroughbreds once their racing careers are over. Kim worked as a handicapper for the Daily Racing form for 5 years before starting her work with Keeneland.

    Friday, October 23, 2015

    Race 1

    #3 Weekend Wish is in top form having won her last 3 races with starter company. She likes this distance and can’t go against her here. #5 Sarbi comes in off a slight freshener and draws Leparoux to the saddle. Filly looks to have a shot to boost the exotics. #2 Cotton Club Cutie is making her 2nd start of this cycle. She has been picking up regular paychecks this year and fits well with these.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Luce Mia, #2 Cotton Club Cutie, #3 Weekend Wish, #5 Sarbi

    Cost $12

    Race 2

    #7 Livonzin raced here on opening day finishing 4th beaten only 2 lengths. Muddy track that day and expect him to move up on a fast track with this company. #2 Slick Pardoned Me has been on the board his last 4 starts. He likes the distance and is player at this level. #9 Practice Tee is an old warhorse that always deserves a look.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Paint the Moon, #2 Slick Pardoned Me, #7 Livonzin, #9 Practice Tee

    Cost $12

    Race 3

    #1 Maziette is making her 3rd start off the layoff. Third place finish with similar here on the 7th, she should be sharp for this event. #6 Benny’s Bombshell is a lightly race 4 year old filly but a couple of her performances suggest she could be in the right spot here.  #5 Tiz Sexy Now was the beaten favorite in the same race as Maziette last out finishing 4th.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Maziette, #2 Appeal to the Win, #5 Tiz Sexy Now, #6 Benny’s Bombshell

    Cost $12

    Race 4

    #3 Fast Pay is a first time starter for the Vickie Oliver barn. Barn is 18% with firsters and looks like she has found a nice spot for her debut. #5 Cinco Zippy just missed with MSW company 3 back on the dirt. A repeat of that effort could land her a share. #1 Sapphire Spitfire caught a muddy track here in her last start. She shortens off that one and draws Lopez to the saddle. #2 Sweetwater is the 8-5 morning line favorite. Can’t leave her out of exotics.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Sapphire Spitfire, #2 Sweetwater, #3 Fast Pay, #5 Cinco Zippy

    Cost $12

    Race 5

    #3 Tasunke is making her 3rd career start for the Pletcher barn. The Indian Charlie filly should relish the 7 furlongs with Leparoux in the saddle. #6 Can’t Be Dazzled has a race over the track finishing 3rd with similar company. #2 Prancing is a Tapit filly trained by Charlie Lopresti that has a bit of home court advantage. #1 Noncommital ran well in her debut effort. Inside draw may be tough for her but she still looks like a player.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Noncommital, #2 Prancing, #3 Tasxunke, #6 Can’t Be Dazzled

    Cost $12

    Race 6

    #7 Yo Carm broke his maiden last out in gate to wire fashion. He posted a strong Beyer number for only his 3rd career start and like him to show the way here. #9 Madtap broke his maiden easily in his first try. Bit tougher bunch here but the Tapit colt looks the part. #1 Surgical Strike is getting a class relief exiting the Grade 3 Bourbon. Willing effort in the race suggest he could be tough here.

    $.50 Trifecta Box

    #1 Surgical Strike, #7 Yo Carm, #9 Madtap, #10 Dragunov

    Cost $12

    Race 7 begins the Last Pick 4

    $.50 Late Pick 4

    Race 7

    #2 Bombo Genesis, #4 Speak Softly, #9 Bird Sense

    Race 8

    #1 Awopaho, #2 Thundergram, #6 Bold Conquest, #9 Tout

    Race 9

    #1a Personal Diary, #2 Al’s Gal, #6 Harass

    Race 10

    #1 Wild Man, #3 Donegal Moon, #9 Airman’s Creed

    Cost $54





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