Let our experts help you handicap the day's races at Keeneland.
Please note that selections typically are available about 48 hours in advance of the race.
Jeremy Plonk has worked in the racing industry professionally for 20 years and has been a statistical consultant to Keeneland, Del Mar and Oaklawn Park, as well as NBC Sports and ESPN. He has been a national racing columnist for ESPN.com and Daily Racing Form and is the owner of Horse Player NOW, creators of the Night School national fan education program. A former chart caller for Equibase, he continues to be a public handicapper in the Horse Player NOW BUZZ report.
JEREMY PLONK'S 2013 SPRING MEET STATISTICAL PREVIEW (Part 1 of 2)
2012 SPRING MEET IN REWIND
On the main track, Gulfstream shippers (25 wins) narrowly edged Fair Grounds shippers (20), while Turfway was next-best (16) … Dirt-preppers won 38 of 108 main track races, best of any surface, followed by turf preppers (32) and synthetic preppers (28). First-time starters accounted for 10 winners … On the turf, Gulfstream shippers won 17 times from 35 races offered with Fair Grounds invaders next-best with 5 turf wins ... Shug McGaughey paced all turf trainers with 4 Spring Meet ‘12 wins on the lawn ... Julien Leparoux piloted 9 grass winners to lead all jockeys as expected, but James Graham was next-best with a solid 4 turf wins at the meet ... Of the 7 juvenile dashes offered at 4-1/2 furlongs, trainer Wesley Ward won 3 times … All 7 baby race winners at the stand had a local Keeneland work prior, which means 50 of 53 baby race winners all-time on the Keeneland Polytrack during Spring Meets had a local workout most recently.
ALL-TIME KEENELAND POLTRACK AVERAGE PAYOFFS
Fall 2006-present (1597 races)
Avg $2 win: $15.44
Avg $2 exacta: $126.44
Avg $1 trifecta: $520.37
Avg $1 superfecta: $3117.11
Avg field size: 9.52 starters per race
ALL SPRING MEET POLY RACES
POLYTRACK, AVERAGE SPRING MEET WINNING ODDS: 6.52-to-1
POLYTRACK, SPRING MEET WINNING FAVORITES: 55-for-685 (29%)
POLYTRACK, SPRING MEET TOP PREP LOCALES (685 races):
31-Tampa Bay Downs
20-Churchill Downs (layoffs from fall)
POLYTRACK, SPRING MEET MOST WINS BY TRAINERS:
POLYTRACK, SPRING MEET MOST WINS BY JOCKEYS:
ALL SPRING MEET TURF RACES
TURF, AVERAGE SPRING MEET WINNING ODDS: 5.89-to-1
TURF, SPRING MEET WINNING FAVORITES: 55-for-178 (31%)
TURF, SPRING MEET TOP PREP LOCALES:
11-Tampa Bay Downs
9-Churchill (layoffs from fall)
TURF, SPRING MEET MOST WINS BY TRAINERS:
TURF, SPRING MEET MOST WINS BY JOCKEYS:
ALL-TIME LEADING POLY SIRES AT KEENELAND BY WINS
23-Tale of the Cat
12-More Than Ready
10-Lemon Drop Kid
9-Yes It’s True
8-Fire Star Day
8-Not For Love
8-Seeking the Gold
Check back Thursday morning for Part 2 of the Preseason blogs, and then Friday's opening day Polycapping stats blog that takes a look at each race from an analytical perspective will be posted later in the day Thursday to give you a headstart on Friday's card!