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Race Date: 
Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Handicapper's Name: 
Ellis Starr

Race #4

Horses & Hope Race

#8 Union Way - Fair odds 2/1
#2 Secede - Fair odds 2/1
#4 Auntie's the One - Fair odds 4/1
#6 Empressof the Nile - Fair odds 4/1
 
Exacta: 2,4,6,8 over 2,4,5,6,8 (#5 is Agent Provocateur)
At the $1 minimum level, this exacta has a cost of $16.
We win if #2,4,6 or 8 wins and then if #2,4,5,6 or 8 finishes 2nd.

Union Way suffered from a very wide trip in her most recent start as she was 7 to 8 paths wide turning into the stretch, yet she managed to finish 4th of 13. She gets red hot jockey Javier Castellano and with slight improvement off her last effort and a little racing luck she can win.

Secede didn't do much in her career debut last summer but after six months off to mature ran a big race when leading late and beaten just inches on the wire last month. She gets another hot jockey in Leparoux and will likely go to the front from the start and make the rest of the field come get her if they want to beat her.
 
Auntie's the One ran in a two-turn race, on dirt, in her debut last month, which is a difficult task as most horses need a sprint prep before going long. She closed from 8th to 3rd I that race and the horse that beat her for 2nd came right back to win her next start so we can expect this filly to improve nice, with the one difference between her and the top two contenders they have run on grass and she has not.
 
Empressof the Nile tried grass for the 1st time in her first start of 2017 and following 3 months off, missing by less than a length and showing she liked the surface. She ran just about as well when 4th last month and gets a jockey change to one of the top jockeys in North America, Jose Ortiz, who usually rides in New York but who is riding nearly every day at Keeneland and doing very well.
 

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