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Race Date: 
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Handicapper's Name: 
Ellis Starr

Race #7

#5 Industrial Policy - Fair odds 5/2

#1 Annulment - Fair odds 7/2

#4 Two to Tango - Fair odds 9/2

Exacta: Box 1,4,5 At the $1 minimum base amount, the cost of this 3-horse exacta box is $6. We win if ANY 2 of the 3 finish 1st and 2nd in any order.

Industrial Policy has run in FIVE straight stakes races, finishing 4th in 3 of them, but it appears obvious she is a cut below stakes level. At this level before those stakes in March, she finished fast for 2nd with an effort that might win here if repeated. Perhaps better still she earned her last win on the Keeneland turf at the one lower NW2X level.

Annulment also drops out of stakes (3 of them), missing by a neck right before that under almost identical conditions. Two of her 3 career wins have come at this distance, and with the ground saving rail she too has a fine shot to succeed.
Two to Tango fits perfectly at this NW3x allowance level as she won at the one lower NW2x level in her most recent race. That win came on turf in Canada, but trainer Lynch has already won at the meeting and she gets the services of riding star Florent Geroux, who rides this turf course very well.

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