Aqueduct Hot List - March 16

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Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – March 16, 2013 at Aqueduct

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                  B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) World Premier (a D last time) may be better suited to a main track try with her closing style, but the rail should help her avoid a wide move and there are no world-beaters in this field. (4) Pegasus Diamond (B) steps up into open company and could surprise here if the track conditions remain dry to her liking. (3) Positive Pitch has some back class and goes third off the layoff. (6) Sheza Classy Lady is dangerous first off the claim for Jacobson.

3rd race – (2) Comstock Prize (D) drops back down to a more reasonable spot and gets some nice weight relief. (7) Charlie’s Punch takes a healthy drop and certainly needed that last race. (5) Undrgroundregulatr (D) took a chunk of late money last time and has been running better since dropping to this level two back. (3) Revere had a decent effort last time in first try vs. winners.

5th race – (1) Privatize (C) looks tough to beat with the rail post and weight advantage off those last 2 quality starts. (8) Wise Guide (D) was wide and rank early on last time so we can expect better today. (5) Big Breesy (B) was compromised during the first 3/8ths of a mile last time and he adds blinkers for his third career start and could pull off an upset. (2) Joe Mooch had problems at the start last time and is eligible improve first time routing and first time with Lasix.

7th race – (1) Can’t Catch Me Now (B) has been hampered by the outside posts his last 3 starts so this change of scenery and a fast strip could lead him to the winner’s circle at a price. (10) Do I Amuse You just missed in a very sharp debut two weeks ago and looks like the horse to beat. (11) Tail Risk (D) is eligible to improve after a sideways start in his debut. (9) Billy the Bull could be a live firster for Kenneally so watch the board.

Best bet: Comstock Prize (3rd); Best value: Can’t Catch Me Now (7th)

No.

Name

Letter/
last race

Today's Race

Comments

(1)

World Premier

D on 1/30

2

Inside post key to better result

(4)

Pegasus Diamond

B on 2/23

2

Toss last race in the mud

(2)

Comstock Prize

D on 1/27

3

Big chance on class drop

(5)

Undrgroundregulatr

D on 2/16

3

Form has improved of late

(6)

Winning Gold

A on 3/2

4

Class drop makes him a threat

(1)

Privatize

C on 2/16

5

Big chance with rail post

(2)

Joe Mooch

B on 2/10

5

Third career start could be the charm

(5)

Big Breesy

B on 1/17

5

Finished up well last time

(8)

Wise Guide

D on 2/16

5

Toss last effort on wide beginning

(1)

Can’t Catch Me Now

B on 1/12

7

xxx

(11)

Tail Risk

D on 2/17

7

xxx

(4)

Anaphylaxis

A on 12/31

8

Big chance if layoff can be overcome

(1)

Afternoon Treat

C on 2/22

10

xxx

(10)

Term Loan

D on 2/10

10

xxx

For more information on the Hot List, email questions to nyhotlist@gmail.com or follow the Hot List on Twitter at @nyhotlist.  Contact nyhotlist@gmail.com for more information.

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