Weekend Warrior - March 9

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KEENELAND SELECT    WEEKEND WARRIOR              3/9/13

GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 10/ grade 2 Gulfstream Park Handicap

Discreet Dancer ran big off a one-year layoff, finishing strong after tracking a fast pace.  If he can improve off that, look out.  Fort Larned is going to be the heavy favorite but running an elongated sprint at a mile off a layoff is a tough challenge.

Bet #4 Discreet Dancer to win. Exactas key #4 with #3 Fort Larned, #2 Fort Loudon.


SANTA ANITA

Race 7/grade 2 San Felipe Stakes

To win the race, I'll pick Flashback but the way to bet this is to find a horse that finish in the exacta instead of having the two favorites run 1-2.  For me, that horse is Hear the Ghost.  He made big improvement in his second start and he's bred to relish this stretchout to two turns.

Exactas key #5 with #2 Flashback, #3 Goldencents


TAMPA BAY

Race 9/ grade 3 Hillsborough Stakes

Mystical Star has a class edge on this group but can she run big off a layoff.  Well, she's trained by Christophe Clement, who excels in that area and she's well drawn in post 3.

Bet #3 Mystical Star to win, place. Exactas:  key #3 with #4 Kya One, #5 Forces of Darkness, #12 Absolute Crackers.

Race 10/ grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby

Pletcher makes an interesting move in sending Verrazano here off two impressive wins.  It's a demanding track and this colt has never been around two turns.  Both could make this one vulnerable but I'm taking Pletcher's decision as a sign of confidence that his colt needs to pass a stern test.

Bet #6 Verrazano to win. Exactas:  key #6 with #5 Dynamic Sky, #4 Java's War


OAKLAWN PARK

Race 7/ grade 3 Honeybee Stakes

Rose to Gold is the only graded-stakes winner in the field and in her first start off a layoff, she had a tough post.  I'm betting she'll improve off that and she could win this at a decent price.  Flashy Gray may go favored off that 95 Beyer but she's giving away a lot of experience and that's a tough challenge for a young filly.

Bet #3 Rose to Gold. Exactas:  key #3 with #7 Sister Ginger, #8 Flashy Gray, #6 Broken Spell

Race 9/ grade 3 Razorback Handicap

Alternation has a tough post to overcome but I think he has a class edge over this group--plus he loves Oaklawn Park.  Also, Alternation ran big off a layoff at Oaklawn last year at this time.

Bet #10 Alternation to win, place. Exactas:  key #10 with #3 Cyber Secret, #4 Donoharm, #9 San Pablo


AQUEDUCT

Race 9/ Fred Cappy Capposella Stakes

To me, Weekend Hideaway has played the tough schedule in this group and I like the fact that Ortiz picks up the  mount.

Bet #4 Weekend Hideaway. Exactas:  key #4 with #3 Whiskey Romeo, #5 Clawback


FAIRGROUNDS

Race 7/ New Orleans Ladies

Not a great betting race with a small field and a favorite that looks unbeatable.  Believe You Can is the pick to win off that four-year old debut.

Bet #6 Believe You Can to win. Exacta box #6 and #1 Imposing Grace

Race 9/ Duncan Kenner Stakes

A similar story to the 7th race as Delauney looks like the winner at a short price.  Gantry is a nice sprinter but he's never been able to beat Delauney so I'll box the exacta and hope he can finally turn the tables for a better price.

Exacta box #6 and #3

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