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Expert Picks

Ed DeRosa

Ed DeRosa is a Cleveland native who grew up going to Thistledown with his grandfather. After 9 years as a reporter and editor with Thoroughbred Times, he joined Brisnet as director of marketing in summer 2011. His favorite horses are Real Quiet, Rachel Alexandra, and Ghostzapper. Follow him on Twitter @EJXD2.

Saturday, July 11, 2020

Happy Toyota Blue Grass Day! What a day of racing on tap with an all-stakes Pick 6 featuring a $65,976.89 carryover plus all-stakes varities of the Pick 5 and Pick 4 as well!

Art Collector in race 9 (the Blue Grass) is our best bet of the day, and Venetian Harbor in the Ashland is our most likely winner. We're especially keen on races 6 & 10 to produce some prices.

1st Race

#6 Copper King
Returns to 2 turns and fairly encouraged trainer hasn’t given up on this one yet. Fast dirt form around 2 turns is best
#8 Looking At Liberty
Trouble in slop last out after nice debut now stretches out to two turns. Run back to debut could be good enough
#4 Civil Servant

2nd Race

#6 Swill
Sire Munnings 16% on debut as is damsire Into Mischief. Steady works including some over this track when first arriving to barn
#8 Little Alex
Keep waiting for this one to get a shot at turf but flashed enough talent in first two starts to take a shot against these at decent price
#9 Therideofalifetime

3rd Race

#3 She Can’t Sing
Wide journey last out now reunites with Hernandez who almost sprung upset aboard this one off layoff, and there’s speed to chase here
#11 Slam Dunk
Last was terrible but 10-1 right price to find out if this one can return to last fall’s races when sharp at middle distances
#9 Crown Jewel

4th Race

#4 Alms
Went favored over BC winner Sharing in the Tepin and never really found another gear for cold barn. Now freshened for trainer who already has win at meet and reunited with debut jock
#1 Mariafoot
Awaiting a rider change, but class ratings say this one fits for DeVaux barn. Strong win last out in France.
#6 Walk in Marrakesh

5th Race

#5 Guarana
Showed freakish tendencies when beating Kentucky Oaks winner Serengeti Empress in a Grade 1 race in 2nd career start. Returned in nice form off layoff and looks the one to catch
#3 Sally’s Curlin
Leaving Mia Mischief off the top 3, as it seems if the front end doesn’t win then it will be Sally’s Curlin or Bell’s the One who both ran awesome from back of pack
#8 Bell’s the One

6th Race

#7 Fast Boat
Ran awesome last time when finding room; will need a good trip here as well in big field but a run back to the last is competitive at 8-1
#2 Wildman Jack
Horse to beat with speed, an inside draw, and the Frank Angst jockey angle with Smith back aboard
#13 Leinster

7th Race

#2 Venetian Harbor
Pace and speed edge. Most likely winner on the day
#3 Bonny South
Decent number in last. Hasn’t missed a work in months. Dangerous for runner-up spot
#4 Envoutante

8th Race

#4 Rushing Fall
4/4 at Keeneland with only loss coming to stablemate and next-out Breeders’ Cup winner Uni. Looked untouchable last out stringing’em out on fast pace and looking for similar today
#6 Jolie Olimpica
Would have been top pick if a bigger price. Is main threat if Smith can get a beat on tracking top pick on stretch out
#3 La Signare

9th Race

#3 Art Collector
I see this as 2-horse race for top honors and went with the better pedigree for 9 furlongs. Art Collector looked awesome in both starts this year at Churchill including a nice stretch out last out
#7 Swiss Skydiver
Filly absolutely fits with the boys and would be my pick if this race were 1 1/16 miles but I think early pressure gets to her in the final eighth
#6 Hard Lighting

10th Race

#7 Mighty Scarlett
Not so good last time but has too many good races going long to discount at 12-1 ML plus Hernandez has been riding well at meet and sees fit to stick for trainer who had a tepid CD meet
#10 Speedy Solution
Don’t necessarily love this one going this long but at 15-to-1 for undervalued jockey and some decent form in stakes this one could surprise at price.
#3 Romantic Pursuit