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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 19

June 17, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Sunday, June 19, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:     

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race –  (10) Bruce On the Loose drops to an all-time low level and should prove best. (6) Popster was third in his last two tries and should be the main rival. (4) Amazing Rocket might perk up in this group. (7) Project Thunder could be a main factor in a claimer. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-7-10. Doubles: 4-6-7-10 with 5-6-8-10. Pick 3: 4-6-7-10 with 5-6-8-10 with 1-3-4-5.

2nd race – (5) Mo Bonita (D) dropped from 5-2 to 9-5 and showed speed before tiring and finishing fourth on a sloppy surface. The experience and a dry track should help him here. (6) Black Forest was a game second in her debut and looks like the one to fear. (8) Chiquita Mosca had trouble at the start in her debut and can move forward here. (10) Shackled by Lust is working sharply for her debut and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-8-10. Doubles: 5-6-8-10 with 1-3-4-5.

3rd race – (1) Greener Pastures rallied wide last time and lost by a length. Can work out a winning trip here. (5) B Dawk was second in a stakes last time and should be the main rival. (3) Tango Charlie won by a nose last and figures to be a threat in this field. (4) Quick to Blame deserves attention off the Barkley claim. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-5.

5th race – (7) Best Bet drops into a claimer and should prove best. (3) Blunder should welcome a drop into a claimer. (2) Grantastic is a firster who seems to have some ability. (4) Fast Felix can be a stretch threat in this spot. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-7.

10th race – (7) Money Supply was third last time and should benefit from a turnback to a sprint. (6) Prayforpeace is worth a look off the Maker claim. (2) Open Road won his debut impressively and cannot be ignored. (5) Raymond was a wide third last time and may work out a better trip here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-7.

No.

 

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

 

Comment

 

 

 

 

 

(5)

Mo Bonita

D, 5/26

2 CD

Dry track should help his cause