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Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Hotlist - April 18

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race [NY, Md 30000, 1 mi] – (6) Our Reward appreciated the added distance out to a mile as she improved dramatically to set the pace and finish second. (3) Jingle Jangle will make her first start of the year after two starts in maiden special weights and she was 3-1 in her debut. (4) Krystalheir had her best finish when she dropped into a claimer for the first time. (2) Khali’s Storm was second and third in her last two starts which were at the lowest level for NY-bred maidens of $25,000.

4th race [Clm 16000 N2L, 6F] – (2) Dads Good Runner was on the lead and finished second three races back when racing at this level. His last two were in much tougher company. (3) Vaunted ran his best two races recently including his maiden breaker for $30,000. This N2L condition is the right spot for him to come right back and contend for the win. (1) South Street and (1A) G Munning are both win contenders at this level. (6) Gun Maestro set the pace last time and finished third.

6th race [Clm 32000, 6F] – (4) Speights Dance broke her maiden for $40,000 back in January and that did not appreciate the muddy and sealed track at Aqueduct. This race is restricted to 3-year-old fillies. (7) You’re Forever found the right spot when she broke her maiden last month for a $50,000 tag. She stepped up to a starter allowance just a week ago and did little running in a spot that was asking too much. (3) Tavin was a front-end winner last month after dropping down to a $20,000 claimer. (2) Kkozy Colby was also a winner at $20,000 while running on the lead but that was at Laurel Park.

7th race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 6F] – (5) Foxy Cara should get an ideal pace set-up for her closing style in this race that is loaded with horses that prefer to run as part of the early pace. (7) Mouly was effective with a stalking trip two races back against open company and she should fit this spot. (1) Athena Beach and (1A) Newsdley both come back from layoffs and have plenty of early speed. (4) Meraviglioso won two claimers in a row and then stepped up to a starter allowance and finished third.

Best bets: Our Reward (1st); Foxy Cara (7th). Best value: Dads Good Runner (4th); Speights Dance (6th).