Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Hotlist - January 11

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                                 B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race [Clm 35000B, 6F] – (2) Narciso Dali (C) has been away from the races since April when he was bet down from 7-1 to 3-1, set the pace, and finished second for a $50,000 tag. (4) Vinsanity was a winner in October in a $25,000 claimer and then tried three races that were too tough including the Cigar Mile. (6) Iridescent was claimed four times for $50,000 and finds a softer spot here. (3) Augustine Red Came back from a five month layoff in a similar spot and got taken after he set the pace and finished third.

2nd race [Ladies, 1 1/8 mi] – (1) Tizzy in the Sky came back from a six month layoff to win the Go for Wand (G3) last month. She also won the Top Flight in April at Aqueduct going the nine furlong distance. (3) Evidencias won the Turnback the Alarm at the Big A in November. (5) Julia Shining returned from a six month layoff to win an allowance at Aqueduct. She is a past Grade 2 winner. (4) Comparative won the Bayakoa (G3) last year and seems to be off form in her recent races but on her best she is a contender.

3rd race [Clm 16000 N2L, 6F] – (7) York Tavern may have found the right field with six second or third-place finishes in a row. (5) Conniving hit the board seven times from 15 career starts with five second-places. (1) Camm’ Duke will take a drop in class having run for higher prices and in starter allowances. He has early speed which is to his advantage in this field. (4) Masterwork has a pair of recent thirds against this type of field.

9th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (6) Prince Valiant (B) had the lead and finished third in his debut at 5-1 behind a horse that is expected to try the Kentucky Derby trail next time. (11) Total Silence (B) got stuck in traffic, had the lead, and lost a head bob in a maiden claimer as a heavy favorite. He changed barns in the past month. (10) Vekinda finished in the top three in his only races and has shown plenty of early speed and a top figure last month. (4) Attorney Wade has a series of good works for his debut which will be aided by Lasix.

Best bets:  Tizzy in the Sky (2nd); York Tavern (3rd). Best Value:  Narciso Dali (1st); Prince Valiant (9th).

Saturday Pick 3 Special --
Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 1-3 and includes the Ladies Stakes à 2, 3, 4, 6 with 1, 3 with 1, 5, 7 = $24.

No.NameLetter
last race
Today's RaceComments
(2)Narcisco DaliC on 4/41Returns from a layoff and drops down in class.
(6)Prince ValiantB on 12/89Ran third in his first start against a strong field.
(11)Total SilenceA on 11/309Changed barns after losing a head bob.