Keeneland Select

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 6

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
 
 RACE #1    $28,000 Claiming
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET
 BEST BET:  #5 BRAVE BUCK
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-15Brave BuckK Carmouche
PLACE7-22Cathedral BeachJ A Hernandez
SHOW9-26Divine LeaderR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD5-21PrincipM Franco
 
ALTERNATE 16-14ScaramangaJ Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 212-17For Some ReasonO Hernandez Moren
    
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
    
 RACE #2    $85,000 Maiden Special Weight
 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:48 AM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-21Double ActJ Alvarado
PLACE3-12SchoolyardsupermanM Franco
SHOW6-16Buntus FocloraJ R Velazquez
WILD CARD5-27Mr. MiracleF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 115-18Jet OffR Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 220-13Exhibition OnlyR Silvera
    
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
    
 RACE #3    $250,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:17 PM ET
 BEST COMMENTARY **  $250,000 DEMOISELLE STAKE GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-53ZanyI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE6-11Jumping the GunJ A Hernandez
SHOW4-12ShillingC Elliott
WILD CARD5-16BelievableJ R Velazquez
 
ALTERNATE 13-14ConcurrentlyF Prat
ALTERNATE 215-15Ivy GirlM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 1,3/1,2,3,6
* TRIFECTA: 3/1,2/1,2,4,6
 COMMENTS: ZANY tied for the highest speed figure in her debut and has two solid works since. JUMPING THE GUN has been the betting favorite in each of her four races winning three with a second. SHILLING ran similar fractions despite stretching out from seven furlongs to a mile. BELIEVABLE has not had a clean trip in either of her two races and could upset if she gets clear sailing today.
    
 RACE #4    $88,000 Allowance
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
 BEST BET:  #2 ARMY GAL
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-12Army GalJ Lezcano
PLACE12-18Sandys GardenS Civaci
SHOW7-21Despos DreamI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD3-16LayeredF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 16-17Megs Foxy GreyR Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 26-15Practical LovJ R Velazquez
    
* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
    
 RACE #5    $250,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:13 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY **  $250,000 ELITE POWER STAKES GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-14Just Beat the OddsM Franco
PLACE7-23Acoustic AveJ Lezcano
SHOW9-51El Grande OF Prat
WILD CARD4-12Full Moon MadnessR Santana Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 18-15St. JudeJ Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 26-16SubrogateI Ortiz Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 1,3,4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,4 BOX
COMMENTS: JUST BEAT THE ODDS has the best combination of early and late pace. ACOUSTIC AVE is a big fan of the distance finishing in the money twelve of fourteen tries. EL GRANDE O usually comes off the sidelines ready to run and should be fit with six workouts since his last race. FULL MOON MADNESS has the most back and Aqueduct class in the field and could find some of it in the third up.
    
 RACE #6    $38,000 Maiden Claiming
 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:42 PM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-110Alyvia MavisJ Rodriguez
PLACE3-14TahilaM Franco
SHOW12-111Purest PerformanceJ Panaijo
WILD CARD8-15FroghollowsummerD A Rivera
 
ALTERNATE 110-18ArgentieraL R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 27-29Fire AgateF Prat
    
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX
    
 RACE #7    $88,000 Allowance
 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:11 PM ET
BEST BET:  #6 LIFE AND TIMES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-56Life and TimesJ Lezcano
PLACE12-14ButtahJ Rosario
SHOW9-210DreamlikeK Carmouche
WILD CARD10-111My MitoleF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 16-12WaitlistR Silvera
ALTERNATE 212-17Land dOroR Santana Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/10 BOX, 4/10/11 BOX
    
 RACE #8    $500,000 Stakes
 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:39 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY **  $500,000 NY STALLION SERIES STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-18BraverthanubelieveJ Rosario
PLACE4-11OhR Santana Jr.
SHOW5-111Shes CountryI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD7-210Hot CurrencyF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 112-17UnmiztakenM Franco
ALTERNATE 210-12Fancy LightsJ R Velazquez
    
* EXACTA: 8/1,10,11 EXACTA KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,8,10,11 BOX
COMMENTS: BRAVERTHANUBELIEVE could prove to be too much for these with any second race improvement. OH rides the hot rail and has proven she can win on a fast or wet track. SHES COUNTRY makes two starts in a row for the first time and should continue to improve. HOT CURRENCY put in an even effort from start to finish in her last but is capable of making a top tier mid to late move.
    
 RACE #9    $250,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
 BEST COMMENTARY **  $250,000 REMSEN STAKES GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-12PaladinF Prat
PLACE5-111TalkinK Carmouche
SHOW9-26CourtingJ R Velazquez
WILD CARD5-19RenegadeI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 112-110BalboaR Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 26-17IgniterM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 2,6,9,11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,6,9,11 BOX
COMMENTS: PALADIN has some of the best breeding in the field and his connections win at a solid thirty seven percent. TALKIN had an absurdly wide trip in his last and should get a better run at it today. COURTING should be coming as fast as any at the end and might benefit the most from turning twice. RENEGADE put on the afterburners in the stretch in his last and really should not be all that far off the pace here.
    
 RACE #10    $500,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:37 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY **  $500,000 CIGAR MILE GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-17Bishops BayF Prat
PLACE9-56Phileas FoggJ Rosario
SHOW5-11Doc SullivanR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD7-24Crazy MasonI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 112-12MikaM Franco
ALTERNATE 210-13PentathlonJ Alvarado
    
* EXACTA: 6,7/1,2,4,6,7
* TRIFECTA: 1,4,6,7/6,7/1,2,4,6,7
COMMENTS: BISHOPS BAY has eight wins and a trio of seconds in a dozen starts. He should be involved from go to photo. PHILEAS FOGG has three wins and two very close seconds in five Aqueduct races. DOC SULLIVAN has mostly wide trips in his recent runs and might really benefit from a rail trip. CRAZY MASON in has the biggest in race edge of more than a length of late speed and will be next to impossible to hold off if he is anywhere near the leaders in the stretch.
    
 RACE #11    $500,000 Stakes
 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY **  $500,000 NY STALLION SERIES STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-52Parker BooneM J Sanchez
PLACE7-27Spirit of New YorkI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW12-11ChummersF Prat
WILD CARD20-18Muscle ShoalsJ Rodriguez
 
ALTERNATE 150-116Take a StanceJ Lezcano
ALTERNATE 212-15True LegendM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 1,2,5,7,8,16/2,7
* TRIFECTA: 2,7/1,2,7,8/1,2,5,7,8,16
COMMENTS: PARKER BOONE just needs to rerun his debut with highest last race speed figure and it is a wrap. SPIRIT OF NEW YORK is one of two horses that have a par race on their resumes for this level with the top choice. CHUMMERS could get the best trip according to Smart Sheets C ZONE where he has the highest score. MUSCLE SHOALS has won from the front and middle in his two starts and that versatility can be handy in deep fields.