Keeneland Select

Belmont Park at Aqueduct Hotlist - May 10

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                           B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

5th race [Clm 10000, 1 mi] – (5) High Tide drops back to a winning level. He won for $15,000 in March, was claimed, and was third in a pair of starter allowances. (1A) Suerte changed to the Brad Cox barn and makes a big drop after racing for a $35,000 tag in his last two starts during the winter. (9) Empty Tomb was claimed for $10,000 in April and came back three weeks later to win for $15,000. (6) Winter’s Ghost was second or third in his last four starts and was claimed twice for the $10,000 tag.

6th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6F TURF] – (7) Van Vollenhoven moves back to the turf where he ran fourth in his debut in October and blinkers come off after one race. (3) Wind Dancer moves back to the turf where last seen he was second following a January layoff and some races on the dirt. (8) Brenchley will make his first start and has plenty of turf breeding and a strong work tab. (10) Eighty Gold was entered for the turf in April but ran on the dirt where he lost all chance at the break.

7th race [John A. Nerud (G3, 6F] – (1) Full Moon Madness won the Tom Fool (G3) in March with a front-end effort and moves back to his preferred six-furlong distance. (5) Anarchist was third in the Count Fleet (G3) at Oaklawn and battled gamely between horses. He is a past Grade 2 winner. (3) Whatchatalkinabout comes back from a January layoff when he had a very fast open-length allowance victory against NY-breds. (4) Surveillance is a $1 million earner with 11 career wins including a top-level allowance at Aqueduct last month.

11th race [Peter Pan (G3), 1 1/8 mi] – (8) Captain Cook won the Withers in February, was fourth in the Wood Memorial (G2) behind two Kentucky Derby horses and gets significant class relief here. (4) Hill Road also finds a softer spot after running third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) and in the Tampa Derby (G3). (6) Uncaged won an allowance going a mile at Aqueduct in April. (3) Surfside Moon moved back to the main track for two stakes and was second in the Withers and third in the Tesio at Laurel Park.

Best bets: Full Moon Madness (7th); Captain Cook (11th). Best Value:  High Tide (5th); Van Vollenhoven (6th).

Saturday Pick 3 Special --
Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 5-7 and includes the Nerud (G3) à 1A, 5, 6, 9 with 3, 7 with 1, 5 = $16.