Keeneland Select

Belmont Park at Aqueduct Hotlist - May 15

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                           B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [OC75k/SAL75k, 6F] – (5) Special Ops or (6) Anyway are both win contenders for Linda Rice but it is likely that only one of them will run. (3) Southeastern has early speed that he used to run second and third at this level in his last two races. (1) B Provocateur was a front-end maiden special weight winner against NY-breds. (2) Life Is Gravy comes back from a November layoff when he won a $75,000 maiden claimer.

4th race [Alw 88000 N1X, 1 mi TURF] – (2) Agia Marina (D) was bet down from 19-1 to 11-1 in her first start after a four-month layoff and first time running for a new barn where she got to third and ended up fourth. (3) Thiene returned from a winter layoff to set the pace and finish second in a similar allowance. (7) Three to G finished in the top three in all three of her races getting a maiden victory at Gulfstream and then an allowance at Keeneland. (4) No Alibi will make her American debut for Graham Motion with two wins in Ireland.

5th race [Md 55000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (5) Magnum’s Microbrst (C) was bet down from 4-1 to be the 5-2 favorite after a nine-month layoff when she was second and comes back after two weeks. (3) Fraudster returns from Gulfstream after a January layoff and drops into a claimer for the first time with a couple of top three finishes showing. (9) Devilish Grin changes barns back to Amelia Green after a February layoff and did finish first in a maiden $75,000 but was subsequently disqualified. (6) Key Actress was last seen at Turfway Park in December and moves back to the turf where she hit the board twice at Saratoga.

6th race [NY, Alw 82000 N1X, 6F] – (2) Illmatic won a maiden in February and went on to finish second in a state-bred stakes after setting the pace. (6) Projectability won his last two starts versus NY-breds in a maiden claimer and a starter allowance. (1) Mozambique finished second at this level twice in February and April. (4) Don Luis changes barns since finishing third in a similar spot in March behind two horses that won their next starts.

Best bets: Special Ops (2nd); Illmatic (6th). Best Value: Agia Marina (4th); Magnum’s Microbrst (5th).          

No.NameLetter
last race
Today's RaceComments
(2)Agia MarinaD on 4/184Bet down after changing barns and a layoff.
(5)Magnum’s MicrobrstC on 5/15Was the favorite after a long layoff and finished second.