Keeneland Select

Belmont Park Hotlist - November 1

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [Bold Ruler (G3), 6F] – (3) Buccherino was a stakes winner at Parx Racing last month and finished second in this race last year. (1) Commuted gets a rider change to Flavien Prat and won his last two starts in a pair of New York starter allowances. (2) Paradise Valley ran the best race of his career three weeks ago winning a high-price claimer. (4) Subrogate was second in the highest-level claiming race at Parx and fourth in this race last year.

3rd race [NY, Md 50000, 6F TURF] – (7) Build Or Buy (D) was bet down from 9-2 to 5-2 in her debut and broke slowly from the far outside in a 12-horse field putting her in last at 5-2. (6) Night Sky will drop in for a tag for the first time in her fourth start after showing early speed thus far. (11) Comets Choice will also run for a tag for the first time and has a second-place finish two races back. (2) Sweet Grace comes back from an August layoff when she set the pace before giving way.

7th race [Alw 105000 N1X, 1 mi TURF] – (1) Tax Holiday (A) comes back from an August layoff when she got taken up on the inside in traffic in the early going and rallied from eighth to second behind a horse who came back to win. (11) Nonconsecutivetrms hit the board in 7 out of 9 career starts including a late-running second at the beginning of this month. (9) Mid Summer finished in the top three in her last five races. (7) War Madam had the lead in an allowance at Laurel Park and ended up a close third.

10th race [Casa Creed, 7F TURF – (5) Alogon (B) got squeezed in tight in the stretch of the Belmont Turf Sprint (G3) when he was washed out on a hot day. (12) Intellect was second in the Artie Schiller beaten by just a neck last time out. (4) Capitol Hill missed by a nose in the Poker (G3) at Saratoga and won a top allowance in August before finishing third in the Artie Schiller. (6) Fond Farewell won an allowance in September at Belmont Park following a six-month layoff.

Best bets: Buccherino (2nd); Build Or Buy (3rd). Best value: Tax Holiday (7th); Alogon (10th).

No.NameLetter/
last race
Today's RaceComments
(7)Build Or BuyD on 10/33Broke slowly from the far outside in her debut.
(1)Tax HolidayA on 8/297Lots of trouble early but rallied boldly.
(5)AlogonB on 9/1910Squeezed in tight between horses in the stretch.