Keeneland Select

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - October 24

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
 
 RACE #1    $75,000 Starter Optional Claiming
 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 12:05 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #4 CRAVINGS
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-14CravingsR Santana Jr.
PLACE2-16Bella KnowsM Franco
SHOW3-15MidnightloveaffairA Fresu
WILD CARD9-27Oklahoma SmokeF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 18-13River TayD Davis
ALTERNATE 212-11VoluntaryK Carmouche
    
* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
    
 
 RACE #2    $200,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:38 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 MAID OF MIST STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-13Cash BurnF Prat
PLACE5-24Sun Kissed BlissK Carmouche
SHOW9-55B Yutiful CarlyR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD9-21DavidsonM Franco
 
ALTERNATE 18-12Fantasy FortuneE J Zayas
    
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
 
COMMENTS: CASH BURN won her debut by a whopping thirteen lengths as the chalk. SUN KISSED BLISS is unbeaten in a pair of wire to wire wins. B YUTIFUL CARLY should have her best late with enough speed to chase. DAVIDSON ran faster despite going longer.
 
    
 
 RACE #3    $200,000 Stakes
 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:11 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 IROQUOIS STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN1-13Munnings ExpressM Franco
PLACE5-25VenettaF Prat
SHOW6-16Kay CupR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD8-12Celtic DawnA Fresu
 
ALTERNATE 115-11Queens CatN Alvarado
ALTERNATE 29-24Sunday GirlK Davis
    
* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
 
COMMENTS: MUNNINGS EXPRESS drops from a Grade III after running the highest last race speed figure. VENETTA hit the board in five of five starts. KAY CUP should be at her best in the third up. CELTIC DAWN is unbeaten in a pair on dirt.
 
    
 
 RACE #4    $250,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 EMPIRE DISTAFF STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-54GrazieF Prat
PLACE8-53ValtellinaD Davis
SHOW2-12BernietakeschargeK Carmouche
WILD CARD3-15Iron OrchardM Franco
 
ALTERNATE 18-11Boxed WineR Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 230-16Racing ColorsH K Harkie
    
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
 
COMMENTS: GRAZIE makes the third start after a layoff and a pair of dominant wins. VALTELLINA ran a little more than two seconds faster last out. BERNIETAKESCHARGE has triple digit speed figure back class. IRON ORCHARD is all or nothing with four wins and nothing else in eight races.
 
    
 
 RACE #5    $200,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Inner turf - POST TIME: 2:17 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 MOHAWK STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN9-53Spirit of St LouisM Franco
PLACE3-11Sounds Like a PlanR Santana Jr.
SHOW2-16George BriggsF Prat
WILD CARD8-12Funny FactorK Carmouche
 
ALTERNATE 110-14AnnexperienceJ Alvarado
ALTERNATE 26-15ChummersD Davis
    
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
 
COMMENTS: SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS will try to time a graded stakes level mid move. SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN will head towards the front and try to stay there. GEORGE BRIGGS will be coming late with the most late speed upside. FUNNY FACTOR is a consistent performer that will need his best to win.
 
    
 
 RACE #6    $200,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 FILLY AND MARE TURF SPRINT
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN1-13Shoot It TrueA Fresu
PLACE3-15Highway HarmonyE J Zayas
SHOW10-14Bostons PhinestM Franco
WILD CARD6-19AnnascaulF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 18-11Sweet Brown SugarJ Alvarado
ALTERNATE 210-12SilsbeeK Carmouche
    
* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX
 
COMMENTS: SHOOT IT TRUE has the most back class for the distance. HIGHWAY HARMONY is the most likely to go wire to wire. BOSTONS PHINEST has the versatility to win from up close or far back. ANNASCAUL has run well enough off the bench with some solid works prepping.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $200,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 SLEEPY HOLLOW STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-16InalienableR Santana Jr.
PLACE8-51ScramjetK Carmouche
SHOW5-24Professor PlumM Franco
WILD CARD6-17Big HandsomeF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 112-13Covered OptionA Fresu
ALTERNATE 28-15Hammerin HenryS Marin
    
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
 
COMMENTS: INALIENABLE won his debut running away as the chalk. SCRAMJET is unbeaten in two including one at this level last out. PROFESSOR PLUM has his best published work between starts. BIG HANDSOME popped with high level late pace in his last and gets more runway here.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $200,000 Stakes
 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:56 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 HUDSON STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-19Sculcos FollyF Prat
PLACE3-18SacrosanctM Franco
SHOW5-21ButtahR Santana Jr.
WILD CARD6-12El Grande OA Fresu
 
ALTERNATE 120-15Factually CorrectE J Zayas
ALTERNATE 212-14Caldo CandyS Marin
    
* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/8/9 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
 
COMMENTS: SCULCOS FOLLY has ton of early speed and hit the board in nine of ten starts. SACROSANCT should sit right off the leaders and try to close it out late. BUTTAH drops from a Grade III after running the highest last race speed figure. EL GRANDE O could benefit from cutting back in distance.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $200,000 Stakes
 6 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:29 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 NY TURF SPINT CHAMPIONSHIPS
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-52WaraloJ Lezcano
PLACE2-13Twenty Six BlackM Franco
SHOW12-14Dakota CountryA Fresu
WILD CARD12-16BosunK Carmouche
 
ALTERNATE 18-18SenbeiF Prat
ALTERNATE 215-11Out On BailR Santana Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
 
COMMENTS: WARALO ran the top last race speed figure and has a swift works since. TWENTY SIX BLACK drops from a Grade III in the second up. DAKOTA COUNTRY looks for his fourth win in a row. BOSUN is longshot that will be closing late.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $250,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:02 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 EMPIRE CLASSIC STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-28WynstockK Carmouche
PLACE4-19Doc SullivanS Marin
SHOW6-16Bank FrenzyM Franco
WILD CARD5-17Iron DomeR Santana Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 16-14PandagateD Davis
ALTERNATE 215-12Ez RollJ A Vargas Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX
 
COMMENTS: WYNSTOCK has triple digit speed figure ability. DOC SULLIVAN has tremendous late pace and the highest last race speed figure. BANK FRENZY has three wins and a second in five at the distance. IRON DOME tends to run well fresh off the bench.
 
    
 
 RACE #11    $200,000 Stakes
 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Inner turf - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 TICONDEROGA STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-14Midnight ConcertoM Franco
PLACE12-18Nonna LynneD Davis
SHOW8-13Sail With the WindJ Alvarado
WILD CARD4-12Awesome CzechR Santana Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 17-27Being BettyA Fresu
ALTERNATE 24-19Gallant GretaF Prat
    
* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
 
COMMENTS: MIDNIGHT CONCERTO hit the board in eight straight. NONNA LYNNE is a price horse with plenty of late gas. SAIL WITH THE WIND is another late comer that runs well in first ups. AWESOME CZECH ran the highest last race speed figure at Laurel.

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