Breeders' Cup World Championships at Keeneland: October 30-31. Learn More.

Keeneland Select

Breeders' Cup Friday Tip Sheet - October 30

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 61% of the time at this track.
 
 RACE #1    $175,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:55 AM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-51Emerging MarketF Prat
PLACE6-12StowawayJ Loveberry
SHOW5-15Admiral DennisJ Alvarado
WILD CARD15-18AzamL Saez
 
ALTERNATE 14-16MemoryT Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 26-13Goulds GoldM Franco
    
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
    
 
 RACE #2    $150,000 Maiden Special Weight
 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #6 NIOSA
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-16NiosaT Gaffalione
PLACE4-19GrovesJ Alvarado
SHOW20-110Maximum CapitalA Concepcion
WILD CARD15-15At Full SailG Corrales
 
ALTERNATE 19-23Honor Is MineJ L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 28-11Ohana LuluJ R Velazquez
    
* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/9/10 BOX, 5/9/10 BOX
    
 
 RACE #3    $250,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 TBRED AFTERCARE ALLIANCE STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-18Roscoe GooseK Carmouche
PLACE6-15Nuit dEclairD Egan
SHOW10-110Coast HighwayM Franco
WILD CARD10-16Majik MooneyJ L Ortiz
 
ALTERNATE 18-11MaxifyF Prat
ALTERNATE 26-12CanadaJ Castellano
    
* EXACTA: 8/1,5,6,10 Key Box
* TRIFECTA: 5,8/5,8,6,10/1,2,5,6,8,10
 
COMMENTS: ROSCOE GOOSE should be well positioned to utilize her late kick with the best combination of early and late speed. NUIT DECLAIR has been very competitive in Group 3 races which are a little higher class than what she faces here. COAST HIGHWAY has shown versatility with a win from off the pace and her last near the back. MAJIK MOONEY will be coming late with some potential untapped upside.
 
    
 
 RACE #4    $165,000 Allowance
 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:40 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #10 CAMPOBASSO
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-110CampobassoF Prat
PLACE3-17Cornwall BossJ L Ortiz
SHOW15-15Send CashB J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD15-13Bobs CarrotJ A Torres
 
ALTERNATE 15-16Global AviatorL Saez
ALTERNATE 26-14GhazaalyT Gaffalione
    
* EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
    
 
 RACE #5    $165,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #11 MCCOY
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-211McCoyJ L Ortiz
PLACE4-11Yacht MasterF Prat
SHOW9-22KingsideT Gaffalione
WILD CARD12-17FustaB J Hernandez Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 110-15Merit BadgeD Sheehy
ALTERNATE 210-19Take a PictureJ Rosario
    
* EXACTA: 11-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
    
 
 RACE #6    $1,000,000 Stakes
 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BC JUVENILE TURF SPRINT GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-23LibertangoF Prat
PLACE3-14Brickyard BelleM Franco
SHOW15-112Primetime EmmyM Barzalona
WILD CARD8-110Harpers CornerP Lopez
 
ALTERNATE 112-115AdoniusJ R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 215-15MussabO Orr
    
* EXACTA: 3/4,5,10,12,15 Key Box
* TRIFECTA: 3,4/3,4,10,12/3,4,5,10,12,15
 
COMMENTS: LIBERTANGO has the breeding and the resume to be the favorite shortening up in distance is the only question. BRICKYARD BELLE seeks her third win in as many races. She has the highest last race speed figure for the US based horses and a strong workout since. PRIMETIME EMMY is an unknown but the group 3 French win at Chantilly says she more than fits. HARPERS CORNER has the top total pace profile in the race.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $2,000,000 Stakes
 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:35 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC JUVENILE FILIES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-25Miss MonicaF Prat
PLACE9-510EmphaticT Gaffalione
SHOW10-18Manuka HoneyL Saez
WILD CARD6-12Domain ExpansionA Escobedo
 
ALTERNATE 112-111VoyagerJ Castellano
ALTERNATE 215-17Lexis CharmJ L Ortiz
    
* EXACTA: 5/2,7,8,10,11
* TRIFECTA: 5/2,8,10/2,7,8,10,11
 
COMMENTS: MISS MONICA is yet to be tested and will be a menace for the other horses if her Del Mar form travels to Kentucky. EMPHATIC showed graded stakes level late pace in her last and will definitely need it here. MANUKA HONEY is another filly that is yet to be challenged and has expanded her lead late in each race. She gets more distance today. DOMAIN EXPANSION is another California transfer that improved her pace internals from start to finish last out.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $1,000,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BC JUVENILE FILLIES TURF GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-59Sun GoddessR L Moore
PLACE10-11Green EmpressD B McMonagle
SHOW7-210AmusinglyC T Keane
WILD CARD12-13CurracloeB Coen
 
ALTERNATE 18-112Domestic AgendaF Prat
ALTERNATE 220-17VantaU Rispoli
    
* EXACTA: 1,3,9,10 Box
* TRIFECTA: 1,9,10/1,3,9,10/1,3,7,9,10,12
 
COMMENTS: SUN GODDESS is the horse to beat. The only unanswered question is the distance as this is the longest she has gone. GREEN EMPRESS has gone the distance winning a Group 1 last out in France. AMUSINGLY is a neck away from being undefeated in three and should be fit in the third after a layoff. CURRACLOE could really benefit from extra distance today. Getting good footing for the first time might help or hurt her.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $2,000,000 Stakes
 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC JUVENILE GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN1-15HughesF Prat
PLACE6-13SalahudinT Gaffalione
SHOW8-12GaudreauM Franco
WILD CARD9-26American HistoryJ R Velazquez
 
ALTERNATE 14-17Coach PopeJ L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 215-18He Is No LieJ Rosario
    
* EXACTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
* TRIFECTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
 
COMMENTS: HUGHES appears to have a few big advantages compared to the rest of the field, including the highest last race speed figure by ten more than the next. SALAHUDIN should make a substantial mid race move and has the late legs to finish. GAUDREAU makes two starts in a row for the first time and could boom or bust. AMERICAN HISTORY ran similar fractions in route winning a grade I than he did in his six furlong debut win.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $1,000,000 Stakes
 1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BC JUVENILE TURF GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-114Great Barrier ReefR L Moore
PLACE10-113AgateT Gaffalione
SHOW3-15Hows Al TodayB J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD7-210Folsom BluesD B McMonagle
 
ALTERNATE 110-12Avec ToiF Prat
ALTERNATE 215-112OscarW Buick
    
* EXACTA: 5,10,13,14
* TRIFECTA: 5,13,14/5,10,13,14/2,5,10,13,14
 
COMMENTS: GREAT BARRIER REEF makes the classic third start after a layoff for the dynamic international duo of Ryan Moore and Aidan O Brien. AGATE is the most versatile in the race. He has won contesting the lead and from more than eight lengths back. HOWS AL TODAY is the only US based horse with a par level race on his resume. FOLSOM BLUES has one of the best wins in his past performances and hit the board in all six starts versus mostly group level company.

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