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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - April 27

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (6) Barnaby takes a helpful class drop and should handle this field. (3) Beer With Ice comes off a big maiden win and seems a main threat. (8) Oneparticulrharbor may wake up on dirt. (1) Step On it should be a late factor. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-8.

4th race – (9) Outadore was second after a layoff and may not look back here. (8) Kigali will welcome a return to a sprint. (3) Carotari could hang on for a share here. (7) Counterstrike fits in nicely with this group. Betting strategy: 9  to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7-8-9. Doubles: 3-7-8-9 with 1-6-7-8.

5th race – (6) Chryso Alogo gets back on dirt and should respond with a big effort. (7) Notorious Sixohtwo looks like the one to catch in the stretch. (1) Spanish Wells will be helped by a ground-saving trip. (8) Saint Peter’s Bay comes out of a sharp maiden win. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-6-7-8.

7th race – (4) Hola Gata (A) missed by a neck with a wide rally and should make amends here. (3) La Pachanga seems ready for a solid effort after a layoff. (2) Tituba has speed and is dangerous. (8) Hay Stack can make his presence felt at the end. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-3-4-8.

9th race – (6) Dazzling Blue makes her 4-year-old debut and should be set for a big effort. (8) Condensation loves Churchill and looms the main rival. (3) Speedy Traveler may control the pace and the race. (7) Backyard Money could bring home some cash here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-8.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (4)Hola GataA, 2/247 CDHurt by a wide trip last time