Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 18

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1)  Spotaway takes a big class drop and adds a top rider. Gets the top call here. (6) Unhidden Gem may improve on dirt. (3) Brooklynn Drew could wake up back on dirt. (7) Musical Prayer has speed and may hang around until the end. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

3rd race – (6) Busk  will be hard to catch in this field. (7) Shape Note exits a nice win and should be a main threat. (3) Cowan should work out a good trip here. (2) Turn Up the Trees will be a factor here off a class drop.  Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.

5th race – (1) Scarletta Carpetta had a rough trip when third in her debut. Makes amends this time. (4) Two Turntables is working nicely for first start since late July. (10) Without a Pout should pose a late threat. (6) Plot could be a force in her debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-10.

7th race – (4) De’ Ans Eighty was second last time and should enjoy the shorter distance. (7) Little Blaze seeks two straight wins at this level. (3) Punchy Girl has also been effective at this level. (2) Sombra Dorada has enough speed to earn respect. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-7. Doubles: 2-3-4-7 with 1-3-6.

8th race – (3) Pharoah’s Wine should get a nice early pace to chase and work out a winning trip. (6) Hamwood Flier looks like the one to catch. (1) Lucky Speech will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6.