Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 1

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (5) Marmo takes a huge drop and should be able to handle this group. (8) Big Leap should be a threat while moving over to dirt. (1) Can I Get Awitness will benefit from a rail trip. (3) Tempting Lady can sneak into the picture. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-8.

3rd race – (1) Two Eagles River should work out a winning trip from the rail. (2) Underhill’s Tab looks like the main threat. (6) Scat Free will welcome a dry track. (3) Tagliatelle will like the added distance. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-6.

6th race – (7) Double Talker was an easy debut winner for Ward and looks best in this juvenile stakes. (5) Pinky Finger is also trained by Ward and is the only other winner in the field. (6) Monster had a rough debut and can make amends here. (1) Daring Move could be a factor from the rail. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-7.

8th race – (3) Ludwig may hang on against this field. (4) Classic Legacy seems ready for a better effort. (5) Bebedouro merits some consideration. (6) Spanish Wells could wake up in a claimer. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-6.

10th race – (6) Major Dude had a tough trip last time and should work out a winning one here. (11) Lagynos will welcome a return to turf. (5) Portofino could be tough to catch here. (9) Brilliant Berti should benefit from his comeback try and can be a threat here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-9-11.