Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 16

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (11) Secret Hideaway ran in a stakes in her US debut and will be helped by a shorter distance. (4) Should’ve drops out of a stakes and is the top contender. (2) She Wants War exits a solid maiden win and is in good form. (12) Stepping Stones usually takes home a check.  Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-11-12.

3rd race – (5) Wits and Wagers was second last time and can take a step forward here. (6) Couldyoubeloved is worth a look off a claim and class drop. (3) Little Dixie may perk up in a claimer. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.

5th race – (3) Cool Cowboy is highly consistent and is overdue for a win. (5) Colonel Caliente was second last time and should be the main foe. (6) Tiger’s Legacy gets some class relief in a claimer.  Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.

7th race – (1) Paul’s Recovery adds blinkers and should prevail from the rail. (6) Sartorial will be formidable in a claimer. (3) Pelican Bay belongs in the exotics. (7) Champagne Liberal can bounce back here after a weak try in MSW company. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

9th race - (6) Money Supply has a nice late kick and should handle this field. (8) Can’t Hush This will be better suited on dirt. (2) Two Eagles River is prepping nicely for his 2026 debut. (4) Keewaydin will be dangerous on his best try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-8.