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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 2

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race – (6)  Jackie Flash has won her last two races and can make it three in a row here. (5) Acaciahelpme might perk up back on dirt. (7) Domitia Lucilla might be hard to catch in this spot. (4) Bourbonwithginger takes a big class drop. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6. Exactas: 5-6 over 4-7 and 4-7 over 5-6.

5th race – (6) Fuente Ovejuna (A) was hurt by a wide trip last time but can make amends here. (2) Eidikos was third in his U.S. debut and can move forward here. (1) Mo Shiro exits a nice maiden win and deserves consideration. (3) Joyful Applause rarely turns in a bad effort but has not raced since December. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-6.

7th race – (2) Giada was a good second in her debut and should graduate here. (5) Generous Lover was fourth in a useful debut and can move forward in this spot. (4) Sweet Azteca could be a major threat in her career debut. (6) Miss Arlington is getting better and fits nicely here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-6. Doubles: 2-4-5-6 with 1-2-3-12; Pick 3: 2-4-5-6 with 1-2-3-12 with 2-4-6-9.

8th race – (1) Agent Peter Graves rallied quickly to finish second last time and should get a good trip from the rail. (2) Chasing Artie makes his 2023 debut but has some back class. (3) Mister Mmmmm didn’t fire in a stakes but fits better here. (12) Santos Dumont might perk up on turf. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-12. Doubles: 1-2-3-12 with 2-4-6-9.

9th race – (9) Game Warden was second in his last two starts and is overdue for a maiden win. (4) Prove Worthy was second for Pletcher at Tampa and looks like the main rival. (6) Tshiebwe was hurt by a wide trip last time and should be a top threat. (2) Route Runner should be closing late in this field. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-4-6-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(6)Fuente OvejunaA, 3/265 CDWas a wide second last time