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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 21

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (7) Texas Ted was a game second last time and should graduate today. (6) Velocimo debuts for Sharp and is worth a look. (1) Mr. Commander could be tough to catch from the rail. (2) Supercool will like the return to a sprint. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7. Exactas: 6-7 over 1-2 and 1-2 over 6-7.

3rd race – (6) Insolito has plenty of speed and may not look back in this field. (5) Rider’s Special will welcome a dry track. (3) Ignitis will be dangerous on his best try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.

5th race – (7) Baby Quinn drops a notch and looks best here. (1) Switzer fits in nicely with this field. (4) Infiltrator won easily last time and cannot be ignored. (2) Hap’s Victory also won by a pole and should be in the picture here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-7.

7th race – (2) Wild Thinker (A) was a solid second in fast time and should handle this field. (5) Briterdayzahead was third to the top pick and figures to be the main rival. (6) Ludwig could last for a major share of the purse. (10) Bolt Action is a firster who could have some potential. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-10.

9th race – (2) Harry Hood can take a step forward after a rough debut. (3) Illegal could be a factor in his career debut. (7) Caroom should be a threat in the final furlong. (6) Now That Ican Rock was third last time and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-3-6-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(2)Wild ThinkerA, 4/167 CDWas a good second last time