Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 22

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (6)  Dragoon Guard returns against a strong group, but will be hard to beat on a top effort. (5) Tumbarumba will appreciate the class relief here. (1) Classic Car Wash could work out a good trip here. (2) Will Take It is in great form and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

3rd race – (4) Nanina is a firster from Cox who can win at first asking. (1) Wakuda was second in his debut and should be the main rival. (3) My Sweetheart is another interesting firster. (2) Clowning Around flopped in her debut in the slop. Deserves a second chance on a dry track. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-4.

5th race – (1) Antonia’s Flowers (B) was an improved second in her first try on dirt and should get the win here. (4) Ashes and Diamonds will be better suited by the shorter distance. (5) Lolo Le Plume should pose a late threat. (8) Churning Berni can sneak into the picture late.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-8.

7th race – (3) Stipulate rarely turns in a poor effort and rates an edge here. (1) Corposo will welcome a return to dirt. (2) Autumn Rhythm exits a nice win and merits consideration. (5) Islander fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-5. Doubles: 1-2-3-5 with 1-3-4-5.

8th race – (4) Penrod drops a notch and should pick up a win. (5) Global Legend could wake up at this level. (3) Hasten broke his maiden last time and merits a look. (1) On My Honor will be helped by a dry track. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-5.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (1)Antonio’s FlowersB 4/265 CDWas second in her dirt debut