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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 3

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Locally Owned is experienced at marathon distance and looks best in this 1 ¼-mile test. (6) Kissalot will be a force if he duplicates his synthetics form. (4) Allege has enough speed to be a factor in a small field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6. Doubles: 2-4-6 with 7-8-10-11.

2nd race – (8) Sonofaship (B) was a game second in his debut and looks like the one to beat. (10) Loudermilk tired late in his debut but should benefit from that experience. (7) Vitement is a firster from Hancock who merits attention. (11) Let’s Go Mark switches to Saez and will be dangerous. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 7-8-10-11.

4th race – (9) Heckled (B) was a troubled fourth last time and should take a step forward with a better trip. (8) Gloria’s Princess was bumped when second and will be the main threat. (3) Wardeya was a close third on Tapeta and merits a look. (11) Best Performer gets Gaffalione and could shine in this field.  Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-8-9-11.

7th race – (1) Bad to the Bones makes his first start since moving to Mott’s barn and is perfectly placed at the rail. (2) Zippin Gigi has speed and could be tough to catch here. (6) Patient Capital is in great form and belongs in the exotics. (8) Greys the Boy should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-8. Doubles: 1-2-6-8 with 1-4-5-7.

8th race – (1) Lone Rock has extensive experience at the 1 1/2-mile distance and stands out in this field. (4) Scarlet Fusion looks like the one to fear. (7) Next could be tough to reel in if the pace gets too slow. (5) Red Run should be closing swiftly at the end. Betting strategy: 1  to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4. Exactas: 1-4 over 5-7 and 5-7 over 1-4.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(8)SonofashipB, 4/132 CDWas a good second in debut     
(9)HeckledB, 4/74 CDFinished a troubled fourth