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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 31

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2)  Cromwell got rolling too late last time. Works out a winning trip today. (5) Chillax has been second in his last two starts. Three in a row? (3) Kavanaugh is putting in some sharp works for this start. (4) Excite may improve on a dry surface. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.

3rd race – (12) If If If can win on debut IF she can handle the outside post. (9) Topic Thunder seems poised for a solid initial start. (1) Mo’ Em Down may be helped by a rail trip. (3) Quick Sand seems to have some talent based on her works. Betting strategy: 12 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-12.

5th race – (2) Tetiarosa (A) was an impressive debut winner and should handle winners here. (3) Anonima has been running in stakes and is the one to fear. (7) Heavenly Sunset could be tough to catch here. (5) Justinqueso will get a boost from a dry surface. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-7.

7th race – (8) Early Adopter rallied sharply to take an allowance race and seems on edge to return to stakes company. (5) Charlie’s to Blame will welcome a return to turf. (1) Tomasello seeks a third straight win and belongs in the exotics. (3) Scipio is worth a look on firm turf. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-8.

9th race – (2) Cameo Performance (B) was hurt by a wide trip in a Grade 1 stakes and can make amends here. (8) Mercante was second in that stakes and will be the main rival. (7) Silent Heart can bounce back with a better try in this spot. (9) Brilliant Berti can make his presence felt here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-7-8-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s raceComment 
(2)TetiarosaA, 5/2         5 CDAn impressive debut winner     
(2)Cameo PerformanceB, 5/3         9 CDWas hurt by a wide trip in a stakes