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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 12

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Overindulgence flopped in slop but could wake up in this spot. (6) Azura should be tough in a claimer. (3) Lady’s Mercedes  may be formidable in this field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6. Doubles: 2-3-6 with 1-4-6.

2nd race – (4) Eli’s Promise switches to dirt and should handle this field. (1) Elite Forces looks like the one to fear. (6) Major Blue should not be overlooked. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

4th race – (4) Mighty Message debuts for Amoss and seems ready for a big effort. (2) Grand Emperor is another interesting firster. (10) Evan On Earth also seems primed to win at first asking. (11) Flotation Station could be hard to reel in. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-10-11. Doubles: 2-4-10-11 with 4-5-6-7.

5th race – (5) Stir Crazy was a good second last time and should notch a win today. (7) Anatolian will welcome a return to turf. (6) She’s Gone could be a late threat. (4) Creative Cairo will be a main threat here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place.  Exacta box: 4-5-6-7.

7th race – (3) Be You has been running in stakes and should graduate today. (4) Nash looms as the one to fear. (5) Nyquist Frequency was second and will make his presence felt. (6) Django should be in the picture at the end. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-6.