Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 14

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Wise Counsel drops into a claimer for the first time and should prevail. (3) Ultimate Strike steps up after missing by a neck and deserves attention. (4) Come to Papa was third last time and runs for new connections here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4. Doubles: 2-3-4 with 1-2-5-7.

2nd race – (2) Baby Avery was second last time and is overdue for a maiden win. (5) Tennessee Lamb looks like the one to fear. (7) Elko County will be helped by a dry track. (1) Greer’s Gold may enjoy a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.

5th race – (4) Dual Income missed by a neck last time and will make amends here. (8) Very Bold seems to be on an upswing. (10) Baby Max rallied belatedly in his debut and should benefit from that experience. (1) Skynet could wake up here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-8-10.

7th race – (9) Spiced Up had a useful debut for Mott and could take a big step forward here. (12) Pair of Socks seems set for a solid debut. (1) Dontworryboutnothn could be a factor in his debut. (2) El Prestigio was second in his last two starts and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-12.

9th race - (2) Good Morning tries claimers for the first time and gets the nod. (1) Kicking Clear figures to wake up in a claimer. (4) Desperate Proposal should find things easier in a claimer. (7) Shotgun could be more competitive on a dry track. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-7.