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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 18

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (1) Jump Into the Fire drops in class and may lead throughout from the rail. (6) Hope Over Fear seems versatile enough to be a factor here on dirt. (7) Baby Gundin should be a threat in the final furlong. (3) Miss Moon Pie can hang on for a share of the purse. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

5th race – (1) Town Barber (B) was a strong third last time. Has the rail today and can use his speed to control the pace and race. (8) Talkin’ Cash should be formidable on turf. (3) Cigarette Boat exits a sharp maiden win and will be a factor here. (2) Double Clutch will be charging at the end. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-8.

7th race – (1) Lady Driller put in some fast works and merits top billing here. (3) Bedazzle ‘Em was second in her debut and should be the main rival. (9) Fantomah is another firster who can be a promising runner. (12) Hope Mission is also worth a look in her debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-3-9-12.

9th race – (3) Henley’s Joy  gets back on turf for Maker and finds a spot where he can return to the winner’s circle. (6) Strong Quality looks like the one to catch in the stretch. (7) English Tavern will be a main factor on his best try. (8) Kingmax will be dangerous back on turf. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place.  Exacta box: 3-6-7-8. Doubles: 3-6-7-8 with 1-3-4-7.

10th race – (1) Nostalgic should respond nicely to a return to a one-turn mile. (3) Hidden Connection looks second best in this field. (4) Oeuvre seeks a fifth straight win and cannot be ignored. (7) Falconet can rebound with a strong effort in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (1)Town BarberB, 10/255 CDFinished a good third last time