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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 19

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Vanished missed by a neck in New York and should work out a winning trip here. (3) Enclosure was second at Del Mar and will be the main foe. (5) Medaglia Forever was a game second last time and will be in the picture again. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5.

3rd race – (5) B Wayne got off to a slow start when fifth in a MSW. Should be tough to beat in a claimer. (6) Action Hero is a firster from Cox who can be a factor. (2) Stone Harbor could find smooth sailing in this field. (3) Quebrancho might sneak into the picture at the end. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-6.

5th race – (3) Pam Pam had a rough start and then rallied belatedly in her debut. Deserves a second chance here. (4) Pounce is working quickly for her debut. (11) Splash Master can make some waves in her first start. (1) Princess Is Olivia will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-10-11.

7th race – (9) Carbone put in some quick gate works for his debut and looks best in this field. (5) Miyagi was fourth in his debut and can move forward here. (4) Shakin Loose can figure in the exotics. (10) Decatur Street is an interesting firster in this field. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place.  Exacta box: 4-5-9-10.

9th race – (6) Cash Only has improved in his two career starts and seems poised for a winning try. (7) Jacked may perk up on dirt. (3) Know Who You Are will get some class relief in a claimer. (9) Coastal Brink may respond to a turf-to-dirt move. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-9.